inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 99 Excitement9.0 [121] MVPMehmet Okur (UTA): +22.1%
Utah Jazz 104 Comeback32.0 [52] LVPGrant Hill (PHX): -23.9%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.000.20-0.011352%0.242-0.03580%0.02
Jared Dudley0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.020.08-0.011258%0.152-0.04250%-0.01
Steve Nash0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,-0.06,0.03-0.040.05-0.012144%0.082-0.053100%0.01
Alando Tucker-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Lou Amundson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02322%-0.011-0.0130%-0.04
Stromile Swift-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.02450%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Robin Lopez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00250%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02430%-0.042-0.02250%-0.01
Jason Richardson-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.10-0.06-0.011118%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes-0.200,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.05-0.17-0.021641%-0.152-0.052100%0.01
Grant Hill-0.240,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24-0.03-0.190.021847%-0.093-0.15475%0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.120.09-0.011574%0.313-0.08560%-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.18,0.18,0.180.18-0.020.20-0.00641%0.261-0.08580%0.03
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.04-0.021258%0.103-0.0400%0.00
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.00850%0.0100.0000%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.18,-0.21,-0.04,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,00.00-0.050.03-0.021457%0.357-0.359100%0.07
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00350%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00545%-0.022-0.041070%0.01
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01325%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.08-0.021146%-0.023-0.10450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.82.330.615.727.72.732.81.815.4154.7
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +59.1%
UTA +34.5%
PHX -6.5%
PHX -34.8%
PHX -2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXUTANBAPHXUTANBA
this game13.615.215.589.294.5106.4
season14.115.3112.1107.7
opponent15.015.5105.4109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
PHX12.215.612.214.813.513.6
UTA14.415.015.515.815.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez14120.24-0.740.980.008-132111.813.9-2.0818.114.83.26
Goran Dragic27260.15-0.650.80-0.1410-152514.013.50.5716.014.91.07
Stromile Swift27250.07-0.570.65-0.044-91314.813.21.6016.914.72.25
Lou Amundson29290.05-0.550.60-0.126-111712.813.9-1.0515.015.2-0.25
Jared Dudley5957-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-7914.812.32.4715.614.70.86
Alando Tucker1110-0.10-0.400.290.01-4-1-315.513.42.0512.915.4-2.51
Matt Barnes7073-0.23-0.270.04-0.230-5512.814.9-2.0614.416.7-2.29
Grant Hill9091-0.520.02-0.54-0.32-72-913.414.6-1.1915.115.6-0.54
Steve Nash9494-0.600.10-0.71-0.31-105-1513.414.5-1.0915.314.70.51
Shaquille O'Neal6869-0.660.16-0.82-0.16-1712-2914.112.81.3614.815.9-1.15
Jason Richardson6664-0.820.33-1.15-0.33-1712-2913.114.3-1.1915.115.3-0.29

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap36370.86-0.361.220.667-2913.216.2-3.0014.413.21.16
Mehmet Okur84850.61-0.110.720.2612-71915.015.7-0.7213.314.5-1.12
Deron Williams81830.60-0.100.710.2213-82115.215.2-0.0313.713.40.28
Ronnie Brewer89890.50-0.000.510.336-1714.916.4-1.4813.215.1-1.85
Andrei Kirilenko72730.390.110.280.3032115.514.51.0014.212.41.84
CJ Miles42430.160.34-0.180.0732115.115.2-0.0612.614.2-1.59
Matt Harpring32300.040.46-0.430.09-27-916.514.61.8614.513.31.23
Kyle Korver2828-0.010.51-0.520.08-38-1116.314.81.5313.013.8-0.81
Brevin Knight2928-0.100.60-0.710.13-813-2115.215.20.0313.413.7-0.28
Carlos Boozer5759-0.551.05-1.60-0.37-611-1715.414.90.5313.813.40.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.47,0.53,0.22,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 132, PHI 1330.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.7,0.64,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.75,0.85,190.6%
MIN 107, BKN 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.87,0.77,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.23,0.04,086.8%
HOU 116, CHI 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.21,0.33,0.16,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.45,0.73,186.7%