inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 113 Excitement3.2 [1150] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +9.8%
Sacramento Kings 95 Comeback1.1 [566] LVPSpencer Hawes (SAC): -9.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.100,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.110.010.021367%0.121-0.02475%0.00
Rudy Gay0.070,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.021557%0.081-0.011060%-0.01
Hakim Warrick0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.00-0.031059%0.081-0.012100%0.01
Marc Gasol0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.060.190.000.141277%0.082-0.0311100%0.03
Darko Milicic0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01183%0.051-0.02475%-0.00
Quinton Ross0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01757%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Darrell Arthur0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
O.J. Mayo0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02643%0.001-0.002100%0.01
Hamed Haddadi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Darius Miles0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marko Jaric-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0330%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.14-0.010.061863%0.091-0.011392%0.02
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.000.04781%0.102-0.04771%0.01
Donte Greene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01340%0.0100.004100%0.02
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.09-0.000.09878%0.021-0.022100%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01133%-0.0200.00450%-0.01
Rashad McCants0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00430%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02862%0.003-0.0300%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.00542%-0.022-0.04250%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.010.06947%-0.042-0.051100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.433.314.829.32.533.1143.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +27.0%
MEM +6.8%
MEM +12.6%
MEM +4.2%
SAC -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSACNBAMEMSACNBA
this game17.214.515.5125.6103.3106.4
season16.115.0101.7104.0
opponent15.115.3112.7107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.214.318.520.117.2
SAC15.216.414.212.014.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley67690.54-0.040.580.011801817.416.70.7715.411.73.74
Marc Gasol65670.480.020.470.071441018.114.83.3015.312.32.93
Quinton Ross40400.400.100.29-0.2221-32418.416.32.0713.815.0-1.21
Hakim Warrick48460.310.190.130.0599016.418.1-1.6814.514.50.00
Rudy Gay67690.290.210.080.06810-216.619.0-2.3914.813.31.48
Greg Buckner38390.230.27-0.04-0.12126617.716.90.8014.114.8-0.70
O.J. Mayo43460.140.36-0.220.20-220-2217.517.00.4714.914.00.83
Darrell Arthur27280.100.40-0.290.07117-1617.317.20.0514.814.30.52
Darko Milicic26270.040.46-0.410.07-119-2015.018.1-3.0714.014.6-0.65
Hamed Haddadi330.000.50-0.50-0.15513-817.317.20.115.714.8-9.09
Darius Miles330.000.50-0.50-0.15513-817.317.20.115.714.8-9.09
Marko Jaric2323-0.040.54-0.58-0.04018-1816.717.4-0.7711.715.4-3.74

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donte Greene14160.02-0.520.540.020-181814.014.5-0.5413.118.1-5.06
Spencer Hawes5351-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-141014.314.7-0.4518.016.21.89
Bobby Jackson4038-0.13-0.370.23-0.05-3-151213.015.6-2.6216.817.6-0.79
Rashad McCants1717-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-6-12616.713.92.7613.418.1-4.77
Calvin Booth1819-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-9015.314.21.0915.817.6-1.75
Andres Nocioni5452-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-4-1013.515.8-2.3217.317.20.11
Francisco Garcia6663-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-11414.514.40.0518.314.63.70
Beno Udrih6059-0.37-0.13-0.230.10-16-2-1414.714.00.7517.716.31.42
Kevin Martin7271-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-16-2-1414.912.91.9317.815.22.62
Jason Thompson6664-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.03-15-3-1214.913.41.4417.117.5-0.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 92, MIL 810.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
HOU 105, LAC 790.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
HOU 97, SAS 780.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%