inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 97 Excitement2.2 [1271] MVPJeff Green (OKC): +8.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves 90 Comeback1.1 [847] LVPRyan Gomes (MIN): -11.6%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.010.041071%0.0800.004100%0.01
Kevin Durant0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.120.000.072360%0.051-0.01475%0.01
Chucky Atkins0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.00-0.08844%0.052-0.0200%0.00
Malik Rose0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01464%0.041-0.00683%0.01
Kyle Weaver0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.03350%0.0300.0040%-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0.010,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01753%0.011-0.013100%0.00
Nenad Krstic0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.041136%0.0100.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.05731%-0.032-0.00250%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.040,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.110.00-0.071029%-0.032-0.01475%-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02658%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.0020%-0.00
Bobby Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.090.000.09775%0.0000.002100%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03262%0.0000.00475%0.00
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Craig Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.020.000.051458%0.013-0.04560%-0.02
Rodney Carney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.100.000.131168%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Love0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.080.00-0.041333%-0.031-0.014100%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.02633%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.03633%-0.032-0.02650%-0.02
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.15-0.00-0.041233%-0.065-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.81.732.715.424.42.430.5128.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +29.0%
OKC +4.3%
OKC +0.9%
OKC +14.6%
OKC +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMINNBAOKCMINNBA
this game15.815.015.5104.395.7106.4
season14.915.8100.5104.3
opponent15.115.1109.2106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.414.013.019.615.8
MIN17.914.816.810.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant70720.52-0.020.54-0.2426-194514.918.4-3.5515.812.73.08
Jeff Green55570.330.170.17-0.3724-174113.718.7-4.9416.712.44.30
Thabo Sefolosha58590.300.200.10-0.0813-61914.917.1-2.1715.314.60.75
Nenad Krstic46450.270.230.04-0.3120-133314.317.1-2.8016.513.72.73
Chucky Atkins43430.260.240.030.62-1219-3117.714.13.5513.316.5-3.12
Russell Westbrook70700.250.250.00-0.0410-31315.018.0-3.0315.713.12.63
Nick Collison50510.230.27-0.030.64-1421-3517.413.93.4513.916.4-2.49
Kyle Weaver37370.170.33-0.170.46-1017-2717.114.92.2813.815.9-2.08
Malik Rose31320.160.34-0.180.54-1320-3319.114.15.0012.816.2-3.38
Damien Wilkins54-0.000.50-0.500.26-916-2520.015.54.488.215.3-7.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelden Williams2525-0.00-0.500.50-0.7124-315511.016.5-5.4519.514.45.14
Kevin Ollie3030-0.00-0.500.49-0.6522-295112.616.2-3.6418.514.44.09
Bobby Brown3030-0.00-0.500.49-0.6522-295112.616.2-3.6418.514.44.09
Rodney Carney4342-0.15-0.350.21-0.6116-233913.816.1-2.2617.514.33.21
Brian Cardinal1818-0.18-0.320.150.03-70-714.115.3-1.2215.715.8-0.05
Craig Smith4646-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-114-1515.314.70.6015.416.1-0.74
Kevin Love5656-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.372-91114.615.7-1.0815.815.70.10
Sebastian Telfair5857-0.35-0.15-0.210.29-2215-3715.913.62.2714.218.3-4.10
Ryan Gomes5453-0.36-0.14-0.220.32-2316-3916.313.33.0314.217.8-3.57
Randy Foye4544-0.38-0.12-0.260.38-2619-4517.013.23.8414.417.0-2.66
Mike Miller6564-0.500.00-0.510.43-3225-5716.910.95.9514.418.7-4.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 129, ORL 900.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.8%
SAS 121, BOS 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%
SAS 114, HOU 750.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%