NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	8.9 [132]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +26.0%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	4.6 [215]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -40.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.26	0.05	0.23	0.01	13	57%	0.30	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.2,-0.28,-0.17,0.13	-0.05	0.18	0.00	26	40%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.12
Jose Juan Barea	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
James Singleton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	56%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	9	59%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.09	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	11	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	0.00	9	61%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.18	-0.00	9	55%	0.27	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	4	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.07	0.00	7	70%	0.06	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	35%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.17	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.4	-0.40	-0.17	-0.24	0.00	26	34%	-0.20	4	-0.21	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.4	31.6	16.4	25.5	2.6	35.2	139.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +12.8%

DAL +3.6%

IND -12.1%

DAL +41.1%

DAL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.5	102.2	97.9	106.4
season	15.6	14.1		108.9	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.7	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	18.6	15.6	16.9	16.1
IND	14.0	12.7	16.4	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Wright	76	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-3	8	15.8	17.6	-1.79	15.3	12.5	2.81
Dirk Nowitzki	70	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	0	2	15.6	17.5	-1.92	15.3	13.3	1.96
Jason Kidd	74	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	-3	8	16.1	16.1	0.04	14.8	15.2	-0.34
James Singleton	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	-1	4	15.9	16.3	-0.38	15.4	14.1	1.24
Jason Terry	80	79	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.41	-4	6	-10	15.8	17.9	-2.10	14.9	14.7	0.19
Ryan Hollins	20	21	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	2	-2	15.5	16.2	-0.75	15.7	14.7	1.00
Gerald Green	5	5	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	-1	4	17.6	16.0	1.60	13.4	15.0	-1.58
Brandon Bass	36	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	3	-4	17.5	15.2	2.37	12.7	16.1	-3.43
Jose Juan Barea	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	17.0	15.4	1.65	14.3	15.3	-1.01

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	34	35	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.05	7	-9	16	15.1	14.8	0.26	17.5	15.2	2.35
Stephen Graham	37	38	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-6	10	12.9	16.2	-3.30	16.8	15.6	1.20
Josh McRoberts	10	11	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-5	8	13.3	15.1	-1.78	18.5	15.8	2.79
Brandon Rush	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.51	13	-15	28	14.9	14.9	0.05	17.3	14.1	3.23
Jarrett Jack	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	6	-14	14.3	15.5	-1.23	14.7	17.5	-2.74
Jeff Foster	45	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-7	12	15.9	14.0	1.87	16.6	15.6	1.05
Roy Hibbert	33	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.03	-12	10	-22	15.0	14.8	0.21	14.7	16.8	-2.15
Troy Murphy	77	73	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.42	-7	5	-12	15.1	13.8	1.31	15.7	17.5	-1.75
Danny Granger	82	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	6	-14	15.2	13.1	2.08	15.6	18.6	-2.93
T.J. Ford	47	45	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.49	-7	5	-12	15.4	14.4	1.02	15.4	16.7	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.77,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 110, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.38,0.4,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.32,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.76,0.42,0	91.4%
NOP 95, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.42,0	91.1%
NOH 99, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.58,0	90.8%