inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 108 Excitement9.0 [128] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +50.7%
Boston Celtics 112 Comeback2.5 [624] LVPDaequan Cook (MIA): -14.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Jones0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.080.004112%0.1800.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.150,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.150.060.100.011653%0.181-0.03450%-0.13
Michael Beasley0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.130.070.080.011855%0.1300.00250%-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.060.020.050.011352%0.091-0.04771%-0.01
Chris Quinn0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00375%0.0500.002100%0.01
Luther Head0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00460%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jamario Moon0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.000.00560%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.02955%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Yakhouba Diawara0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01633%0.001-0.0600%0.00
Daequan Cook-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14-0.08-0.09-0.021432%-0.111-0.0300%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.510.510.160.370.032367%0.542-0.04862%-0.07
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.310.310.100.21-0.001073%0.341-0.03250%-0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.10-0.050.012059%0.112-0.07683%0.02
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.011054%0.051-0.02475%0.01
Gabe Pruitt00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01344%0.031-0.03367%-0.01
Henry Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02444%0.012-0.0210%-0.01
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.080.00944%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.43.031.818.428.73.632.01.819.8167.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +41.6%
MIA -0.7%
BOS +11.6%
BOS +1.4%
MIA -3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game17.715.615.5113.7116.7106.4
season16.015.8105.9108.3
opponent15.615.7101.7105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA17.718.117.018.716.317.7
BOS15.016.114.318.213.715.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luther Head37380.15-0.650.800.005-91417.118.1-1.0115.515.7-0.23
Jamaal Magloire28290.07-0.570.64-0.178-122017.717.70.0316.115.40.65
Chris Quinn23220.06-0.560.62-0.085-91417.817.70.1217.815.02.80
Yakhouba Diawara760.00-0.500.51-0.083-71012.618.1-5.5315.015.7-0.66
Udonis Haslem4041-0.02-0.480.470.31-117-1817.417.9-0.5515.116.0-0.82
James Jones5153-0.18-0.320.13-0.5111-152618.117.20.9616.514.51.96
Jamario Moon3737-0.32-0.18-0.140.21-1814-3217.917.50.4114.516.3-1.88
Michael Beasley5656-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.687-111818.017.30.6616.015.10.88
Daequan Cook6769-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.23-95-1417.518.1-0.6415.116.9-1.82
Mario Chalmers6566-0.620.12-0.75-0.33-106-1617.817.50.2815.216.6-1.48
Jermaine O'Neal6463-0.670.17-0.84-0.35-117-1818.116.81.3715.815.30.43

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendrick Perkins66650.86-0.361.220.4813-92215.715.50.1218.216.71.50
Glen Davis72720.86-0.361.220.0727-235015.715.30.3818.913.95.05
Paul Pierce85840.64-0.140.790.2314-102415.516.4-0.8518.015.32.74
Rajon Rondo86850.56-0.060.630.338-41215.714.90.8017.321.0-3.69
Eddie House50510.500.000.490.53-15-615.815.40.3917.717.70.07
Stephon Marbury5857-0.160.66-0.81-0.2122014.816.8-1.9417.518.1-0.60
Gabe Pruitt89-0.160.66-0.810.08-812-2016.915.51.3714.918.0-3.10
Mikki Moore2929-0.250.75-1.000.07-1115-2616.615.21.4417.617.7-0.16
Henry Walker2623-0.360.86-1.220.34-2428-5215.215.8-0.6314.618.7-4.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.93,0.98,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 116, ATL 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,189.4%
GSW 89, MIL 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,189.0%
CHA 106, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.58,0.5,0.45,0.64,0.97,1,188.6%