NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	1.7 [1302]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +13.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	1.1 [1309]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -6.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Acker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	6	14%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	11	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.10	4	71%	-0.02	1	0.00	13	54%	-0.02
Mardy Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.08	15	55%	-0.02	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	12	38%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.01	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.17	0.00	0.03	20	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	0.00	0.10	11	71%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	6	79%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	30.2	15.7	25.5	2.0	26.2	130.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.3%

LAC -2.3%

POR +7.4%

POR +3.0%

POR +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	13.8	15.2	15.5	87.0	117.2	106.4
season	15.7	16.7		100.7	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.1		105.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	12.7	14.6	13.4	13.8
POR	11.9	17.3	15.4	16.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Acker	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.22	-8	-21	13	13.3	13.9	-0.55	16.7	14.7	2.03
Mike Taylor	17	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-21	13	12.3	14.0	-1.75	16.2	15.0	1.18
Fred Jones	56	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-22	15	12.9	14.8	-1.91	16.8	13.2	3.64
Mardy Collins	54	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.33	-21	-8	-13	14.2	13.3	0.91	15.5	14.8	0.66
Ricky Davis	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-16	3	13.4	14.1	-0.73	14.5	15.8	-1.31
DeAndre Jordan	82	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	-11	-7	13.8	13.6	0.24	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Baron Davis	58	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.21	-20	-9	-11	14.1	13.2	0.88	14.2	16.6	-2.32
Steve Novak	79	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.43	-28	-1	-27	14.2	11.9	2.34	14.9	16.4	-1.49
Eric Gordon	81	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.17	-22	-7	-15	13.9	13.0	0.93	14.7	17.1	-2.36

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	68	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.41	27	2	25	14.5	16.7	-2.19	14.4	12.3	2.16
Brandon Roy	67	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	14	1	15.6	14.5	1.08	13.7	13.8	-0.06
Steve Blake	53	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.25	21	8	13	14.2	16.3	-2.14	14.7	12.6	2.10
Joel Przybilla	44	43	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.35	24	5	19	13.5	16.6	-3.06	14.4	13.2	1.17
Rudy Fernandez	33	33	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.48	25	4	21	14.5	15.5	-0.98	14.4	13.4	0.96
Travis Outlaw	48	49	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	15	-1	16.0	14.4	1.59	14.0	13.5	0.49
Nicolas Batum	53	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	25	-21	14.5	16.0	-1.45	13.1	14.5	-1.34
Channing Frye	46	47	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.25	14	15	-1	16.6	14.0	2.59	13.9	13.6	0.23
Sergio Rodriguez	35	36	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	20	-11	16.2	14.7	1.54	13.0	14.2	-1.22
Michael Ruffin	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	17.4	15.0	2.40	11.5	13.9	-2.39
Shavlik Randolph	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	30	-31	16.4	14.9	1.52	12.2	14.1	-1.82
Jerryd Bayless	24	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.26	-9	38	-47	16.6	14.8	1.82	11.2	14.6	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,1	98.5%
CHA 90, CLE 129	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.5%
PHX 79, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%