inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 117 Excitement9.7 [79] MVPCharlie Villanueva (MIL): +26.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 120 Comeback2.9 [239] LVPJ.R. Smith (DEN): -25.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.10.060.060.021961%0.254-0.161681%0.06
Chris Andersen0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.070.00460%0.101-0.022100%0.02
Linas Kleiza0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.02865%0.092-0.06475%-0.01
Dahntay Jones0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Nene0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.001163%0.155-0.155100%0.03
Renaldo Balkman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.02583%0.083-0.102100%0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.070,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0,-0.070.08-0.140.011270%-0.022-0.05683%0.02
Anthony Carter-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.050.00542%-0.053-0.08250%-0.02
J.R. Smith-0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26-0.07-0.19-0.01939%-0.133-0.13580%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.270.270.200.05-0.012375%0.333-0.07250%-0.04
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.060.13-0.00859%0.1900.006100%0.06
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00375%0.0400.002100%0.01
Eddie Gill00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00233%-0.0200.0020%-0.04
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.011-0.03250%-0.00
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.040.021257%0.012-0.05650%-0.03
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joe Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00844%-0.012-0.062100%0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.08,-0.1-0.100.04-0.110.021755%0.043-0.141587%0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.060.00637%-0.062-0.07450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.11.040.314.629.42.435.3151.2
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +15.9%
DEN -15.9%
MIL +8.9%
MIL +35.2%
MIL +5.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMILNBADENMILNBA
this game13.714.515.5114.7117.6106.4
season14.415.0109.5104.9
opponent15.615.7105.6105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.211.213.715.113.7
MIL13.014.013.019.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dahntay Jones35350.14-0.640.790.063-6914.613.21.4011.915.9-3.94
Renaldo Balkman39390.04-0.540.580.011-4514.913.01.9312.515.8-3.31
Chris Andersen4242-0.06-0.440.39-0.122-5713.214.1-0.8816.113.42.74
J.R. Smith6666-0.16-0.340.17-0.191-4513.114.9-1.8314.814.00.82
Nene6767-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.21-41-514.612.02.6014.913.81.15
Carmelo Anthony8788-0.520.02-0.53-0.37-52-713.713.50.2013.720.0-6.34
Chauncey Billups8887-0.520.02-0.53-0.520-3313.614.6-1.0914.017.8-3.83
Anthony Carter3435-0.520.02-0.54-0.37-52-713.214.0-0.7518.312.65.72
Linas Kleiza5251-0.580.08-0.67-0.35-85-1312.814.6-1.8315.513.52.00

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ramon Sessions89890.69-0.190.880.3711-81914.812.91.8414.49.05.39
Charlie Villanueva76770.55-0.050.600.376-3915.013.21.7914.710.74.01
Charlie Bell63610.53-0.030.570.59-25-715.313.31.9812.315.9-3.59
Francisco Elson53550.460.040.420.228-51315.113.91.1415.611.54.03
Richard Jefferson54550.390.110.280.139-61515.413.51.8715.611.54.03
Luke Ridnour47480.350.150.210.099-61514.114.9-0.7113.014.3-1.29
Malik Allen11100.120.38-0.26-0.025-2716.214.31.8511.713.9-2.22
Joe Alexander30310.060.44-0.39-0.064-1517.013.53.4513.813.70.14
Luc Mbah a Moute3534-0.090.59-0.680.06-58-1311.216.3-5.0713.713.7-0.00
Dan Gadzuric2321-0.170.67-0.850.12-1013-2312.215.2-3.049.014.9-5.93
Eddie Gill44-0.190.69-0.870.08-912-219.714.7-4.973.514.1-10.62
Keith Bogans2525-0.210.71-0.910.12-1114-2512.015.4-3.3511.214.5-3.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.44,0.54,0.45,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 107, LAL 1110.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.73,191.5%
ORL 91, MIL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.85,191.4%
SAC 102, LAL 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.54,0.37,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.45,0.73,191.0%