inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 95 Excitement2.7 [1222] MVPBrandon Bass (DAL): +16.1%
Dallas Mavericks 116 Comeback1.1 [1284] LVPKevin Martin (SAC): -8.2%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.000.07977%0.052-0.014100%0.01
Beno Udrih0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.041364%0.042-0.022100%0.01
Spencer Hawes0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.00-0.061750%0.064-0.0500%0.00
Donte Greene-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02642%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Will Solomon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.000.05658%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.02933%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.051133%-0.032-0.02875%0.01
Kevin Martin-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.010.03852%-0.033-0.05580%-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.170.010.02983%0.1600.006100%0.03
James Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.000.031076%0.083-0.02580%0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01692%0.103-0.0500%0.00
Antoine Wright0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.04762%0.053-0.022100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01490%0.042-0.01250%-0.01
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.020.081553%0.0100.00875%-0.01
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.011344%-0.001-0.0010%-0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.06837%-0.0120.00850%-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.530.415.724.52.525.4127.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +25.1%
DAL +7.1%
DAL +11.6%
DAL +8.7%
SAC -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDALNBASACDALNBA
this game13.714.015.592.2110.5106.4
season15.015.6104.0108.9
opponent15.415.1107.1112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC13.013.515.213.013.7
DAL14.611.713.616.414.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Garcia6264-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-201914.013.20.7715.012.52.49
Jason Thompson4041-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-12314.113.30.8014.513.70.75
Beno Udrih7880-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-161113.713.60.0815.39.85.50
Bobby Jackson4849-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-171313.114.1-1.0014.913.21.67
Andres Nocioni6364-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-6-15913.214.4-1.2114.912.72.13
Will Solomon2726-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-8-513.613.7-0.0410.315.2-4.89
Donte Greene4747-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.10-8-13512.714.5-1.8013.714.3-0.67
Spencer Hawes8487-0.48-0.02-0.470.43-3110-4114.211.32.8713.018.9-5.87
Kevin Martin6667-0.510.01-0.530.31-287-3513.913.20.7412.816.2-3.38

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antoine Wright73710.56-0.060.62-0.3531-104113.116.2-3.0614.013.01.00
Jason Kidd57560.53-0.030.56-0.2025-42912.316.1-3.8614.312.91.33
Jose Juan Barea68680.310.190.13-0.011110114.113.90.1713.214.5-1.29
Brandon Bass49490.300.200.090.09714-713.614.4-0.7413.314.0-0.68
James Singleton56540.260.240.020.11516-1113.614.6-0.9813.114.3-1.15
Dirk Nowitzki54530.240.26-0.02-0.231651114.613.41.2814.113.20.93
Erick Dampier42410.200.30-0.10-0.21147714.114.00.0714.613.01.62
Josh Howard58570.110.39-0.29-0.221110114.713.31.4013.913.40.45
Matt Carroll23220.000.50-0.500.21-728-3516.313.42.9112.813.9-1.07
Devean George990.000.50-0.500.00021-2115.113.91.1811.813.8-2.06
Ryan Hollins990.000.50-0.500.00021-2115.113.91.1811.813.8-2.06
Jerry Stackhouse2726-0.010.51-0.530.22-829-3716.513.23.3013.613.7-0.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 80, SAC 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
OKC 98, LAC 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
UTA 72, LAC 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%