NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	8.1 [215]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +70.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	1.8 [655]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -32.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.40	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.4	0.21	0.21	0.02	20	71%	0.44	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.07
Chris Paul	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.34	0.06	0.29	-0.00	18	55%	0.38	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.00	11	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.00	10	55%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.71	0.71	0.30	0.44	0.03	27	70%	0.76	2	-0.05	13	85%	0.06
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	17	59%	0.19	3	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	7	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.32	-0.32	-0.08	-0.24	0.00	15	37%	-0.28	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	28.5	16.4	24.4	2.4	28.5	129.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +53.7%

OKC -9.4%

OKC -0.2%

NOH +8.4%

OKC -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	OKC	NBA	NOH	OKC	NBA
this game	16.3	14.9	15.5	107.5	106.5	106.4
season	16.6	14.9		105.9	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.0	15.7	16.7	17.9	16.3
OKC	14.4	16.4	14.6	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	78	76	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-6	14	16.1	16.9	-0.81	15.1	13.7	1.43
Peja Stojakovic	69	66	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-8	18	15.8	17.5	-1.73	15.8	12.4	3.41
Chris Paul	70	68	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.55	4	-2	6	16.4	15.9	0.52	15.6	12.8	2.81
James Posey	56	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.53	-6	8	-14	16.7	15.6	1.10	13.6	16.9	-3.30
Rasual Butler	66	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	1	0	16.2	16.5	-0.37	16.3	11.9	4.39
Sean Marks	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	-9	20	16.7	15.7	1.01	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Devin Brown	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	5	-8	16.3	16.2	0.06	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Ryan Bowen	16	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	4	-6	16.9	16.1	0.75	13.4	15.2	-1.77
Antonio Daniels	28	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	3	-4	16.4	16.2	0.19	12.4	16.1	-3.79
Hilton Armstrong	20	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	14	-26	15.1	16.6	-1.48	13.2	15.3	-2.16

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	49	46	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.01	11	-13	24	12.5	17.6	-5.14	15.9	16.6	-0.64
Chucky Atkins	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-2	2	13.6	15.1	-1.46	14.8	16.5	-1.64
Nenad Krstic	61	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.43	13	-15	28	14.3	16.1	-1.80	16.8	15.2	1.67
Nick Collison	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	7	-16	14.3	15.7	-1.39	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Kevin Durant	81	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-3	4	15.2	12.4	2.85	16.2	17.1	-0.94
Russell Westbrook	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	5	-12	16.0	12.5	3.47	17.3	14.0	3.33
Kyle Weaver	60	64	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.53	-8	6	-14	15.9	12.9	3.06	15.7	17.4	-1.73
Jeff Green	80	81	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.46	-11	9	-20	15.4	11.5	3.88	16.0	17.9	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.14,0.02,0	91.1%
WAS 94, ORL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.08,0	91.0%
SAC 110, DAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.37,0.22,0.28,0	91.0%