NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	2.0 [1283]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (ORL): +17.5%
Orlando Magic	125		Comeback	1.0 [1296]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -7.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.16	0.00	0.09	16	71%	0.07	2	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	7	86%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	7	22%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	11	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	19%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.27	0.00	0.10	11	109%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	10	105%	0.12	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	12	71%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	39%	0.00	1	-0.01	9	44%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	6	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	28.3	17.4	28.6	2.3	27.7	132.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +51.8%

LAC -6.8%

ORL +3.6%

ORL +1.1%

ORL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.5	105.5	135.9	106.4
season	15.7	15.3		100.7	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.1		101.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.3	15.7	16.6	14.6	15.8
ORL	17.2	13.8	15.4	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Hart	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-33	37	13.8	16.1	-2.35	17.2	15.5	1.70
DeAndre Jordan	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-35	41	15.1	16.0	-0.91	16.0	15.6	0.37
Ricky Davis	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-21	13	15.1	16.2	-1.10	15.5	15.8	-0.34
Brian Skinner	17	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.39	-21	-8	-13	18.5	15.1	3.38	13.4	16.2	-2.73
Zach Randolph	42	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-16	3	14.8	16.6	-1.85	16.5	14.9	1.63
Steve Novak	47	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	-17	5	15.8	15.8	-0.03	15.0	16.4	-1.35
Marcus Camby	48	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-14	-1	15.8	15.7	0.07	15.8	15.6	0.21
Baron Davis	47	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	-16	3	15.9	15.7	0.23	16.1	15.3	0.80
Fred Jones	47	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.26	-19	-10	-9	15.9	15.7	0.23	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Eric Gordon	65	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.42	-27	-2	-25	15.9	15.6	0.28	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Al Thornton	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.38	-27	-2	-25	16.4	13.7	2.75	15.7	15.8	-0.12

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	62	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.41	30	-1	31	14.5	18.2	-3.72	16.6	14.1	2.51
Dwight Howard	60	59	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.32	25	4	21	15.4	16.2	-0.80	15.8	15.7	0.05
Courtney Lee	59	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.52	31	-2	33	15.3	16.5	-1.23	16.0	15.4	0.68
Anthony Johnson	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.30	21	8	13	15.8	15.5	0.35	16.0	15.5	0.50
JJ Redick	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.14	15	14	1	14.9	16.5	-1.61	15.9	15.7	0.22
Rashard Lewis	53	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.37	22	7	15	16.4	14.7	1.74	15.7	15.9	-0.28
Tony Battie	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.19	13	16	-3	15.2	15.9	-0.74	16.5	15.5	1.03
Mickael Pietrus	36	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	24	-19	17.4	14.6	2.83	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Brian Cook	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	35	-41	16.0	15.6	0.37	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Keith Bogans	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	33	-37	17.0	15.5	1.50	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Jeremy Richardson	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	34	-39	17.5	15.5	2.02	14.2	16.0	-1.73
Marcin Gortat	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	16.9	15.4	1.50	13.9	16.2	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
POR 89, PHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
GSW 98, LAC 138	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%