NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Excitement	11.2 [32]		MVP	Jeff Green (OKC): +30.2%
Sacramento Kings	122		Comeback	1.9 [602]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -13.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.30	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.05	0.23	-0.02	23	52%	0.42	1	-0.12	8	75%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	18	59%	0.37	5	-0.20	22	91%	0.13
Kyle Weaver	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	0.14	-0.22	0.01	23	65%	0.07	3	-0.15	5	100%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.14	0.01	24	59%	0.33	2	-0.08	15	80%	0.04
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.18	0.00	8	69%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	10	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.05
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	16	50%	0.03	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	14	53%	0.04	4	-0.18	8	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.5	2.8	33.0	16.4	30.7	2.6	35.0	2.5	11.4	160.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +5.2%

OKC -11.8%

SAC +28.6%

SAC +22.1%

SAC +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.5	113.5	113.0	106.4
season	14.9	15.0		100.5	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		112.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	14.7	14.2	15.8	15.2	16.6	15.1
SAC	14.1	14.6	13.7	16.1	18.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Weaver	31	31	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-9	14	16.5	14.5	2.08	15.5	14.7	0.89
Earl Watson	60	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-3	2	14.4	16.0	-1.50	14.1	16.0	-1.90
Chris Wilcox	9	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	16.2	15.0	1.24	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Nenad Krstic	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-1	-2	14.7	15.4	-0.74	12.6	16.5	-3.96
Russell Westbrook	80	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-7	10	15.2	14.8	0.38	15.6	12.9	2.68
Nick Collison	61	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-3	2	15.4	14.7	0.74	16.5	12.6	3.96
Chucky Atkins	36	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	5	-14	14.7	15.3	-0.60	12.8	16.1	-3.32
Kevin Durant	100	103	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	1	-6	14.9	19.5	-4.59	14.8	18.0	-3.23
Jeff Green	92	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-2	0	15.0	15.5	-0.47	15.5	10.5	4.97

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	46	40	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.39	15	-11	26	13.6	15.9	-2.28	15.3	15.0	0.31
John Salmons	97	93	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-2	8	15.1	12.9	2.24	15.5	11.8	3.65
Kevin Martin	99	96	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	3	-2	15.0	13.6	1.48	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Spencer Hawes	60	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	15.5	14.2	1.31	15.2	14.9	0.27
Jason Thompson	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	5	-6	16.5	13.6	2.95	15.5	14.6	0.91
Mikki Moore	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	3	-2	13.2	15.3	-2.11	13.4	15.5	-2.10
Francisco Garcia	68	66	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	7	-10	14.1	16.3	-2.28	14.5	16.1	-1.65
Bobby Brown	41	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	11	-18	15.4	14.6	0.72	15.3	15.0	0.29
Shelden Williams	50	47	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.43	3	1	2	14.0	15.7	-1.78	14.7	15.4	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.67,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, NYK 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.79,0.94,0.96,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.85,0.91,1	89.6%
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	88.7%
NYK 85, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.74,1	88.7%