NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	5.8 [680]		MVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): +10.5%
Detroit Pistons	78		Comeback	1.0 [1053]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -15.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	5	43%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.18	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	17	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	14	42%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.05
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.04	-0.05	3	56%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	14	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	11	68%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	8	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.12	-0.03	16	35%	-0.11	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	37.1	19.0	26.0	3.8	37.4	149.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.7%

BOS +4.8%

BOS +8.7%

DET -11.1%

BOS +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	17.0	16.9	15.5	101.2	91.8	106.4
season	15.8	16.9		108.3	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		106.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.5	15.8	16.8	18.9	17.0
DET	18.6	14.8	18.3	16.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	65	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.17	12	-4	16	16.9	17.3	-0.41	16.6	18.1	-1.47
Rajon Rondo	68	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-1	10	17.2	16.1	1.16	16.3	19.5	-3.20
Ray Allen	67	68	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-1	10	16.5	18.7	-2.20	16.6	18.2	-1.68
Paul Pierce	70	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	-2	12	16.2	20.9	-4.71	17.4	14.9	2.49
Kendrick Perkins	48	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-2	12	16.4	17.7	-1.27	17.9	15.3	2.62
Eddie House	25	23	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	7	-6	18.9	16.2	2.68	19.5	15.9	3.60
Glen Davis	33	31	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	11	-14	19.9	15.1	4.77	16.2	17.3	-1.15
Leon Powe	21	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	12	-16	15.8	17.4	-1.63	17.2	16.8	0.34
Tony Allen	28	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	12	-16	16.6	17.2	-0.62	15.2	17.7	-2.45

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	52	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-14	20	15.2	19.5	-4.23	18.2	14.9	3.29
Amir Johnson	9	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	0	-8	21.9	16.3	5.59	14.8	17.2	-2.47
Jason Maxiell	23	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-8	8	18.0	16.5	1.58	18.2	16.5	1.64
Antonio McDyess	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-12	16	15.9	21.5	-5.55	17.1	16.7	0.37
Tayshaun Prince	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	3	-14	18.3	13.0	5.34	15.9	20.0	-4.12
Allen Iverson	77	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	1	-10	16.6	20.0	-3.43	17.0	16.6	0.48
Rasheed Wallace	66	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	3	-14	17.1	16.3	0.81	17.4	15.7	1.62
Rodney Stuckey	66	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	3	-14	17.0	16.6	0.41	16.4	19.1	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	94.4%
CHI 96, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	94.4%
DAL 110, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.2%