NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	6.3 [553]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +22.0%
New York Knicks	112		Comeback	2.7 [397]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -19.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.26	0.05	0.09	13	82%	0.22	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	14	59%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	22	48%	-0.04	2	-0.05	10	20%	-0.17
Joe Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	15	41%	-0.07	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.06	-0.03	13	19%	-0.13	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.05	-0.03	11	67%	0.22	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.05	0.04	15	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	11	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	14	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	15	53%	0.02	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.6	16.6	27.3	2.6	35.0	132.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.7%

NYK +20.6%

NYK +19.2%

ATL -15.1%

ATL -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	13.8	15.5	103.0	110.9	106.4
season	15.8	13.8		106.7	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		109.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.6	13.4	15.4	15.6	14.7
NYK	14.2	13.7	13.4	13.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	9.5	14.8	-5.34	17.0	13.7	3.28
Solomon Jones	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-6	4	12.2	15.1	-2.96	16.3	13.4	2.90
Acie Law	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-6	4	13.2	14.9	-1.78	16.3	13.4	2.90
Maurice Evans	27	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-2	-4	15.2	14.6	0.62	15.8	13.1	2.63
Josh Smith	80	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.20	2	-10	12	14.6	15.4	-0.82	14.0	12.8	1.22
Marvin Williams	90	89	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-9	10	14.5	16.5	-2.03	14.3	10.0	4.29
Ronald Murray	63	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	0	-8	14.2	15.6	-1.44	13.9	13.6	0.25
Joe Johnson	84	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	0	-8	15.1	13.1	1.94	13.1	17.3	-4.19
Mike Bibby	75	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	0	-8	14.9	14.3	0.57	13.0	16.2	-3.18
Zaza Pachulia	59	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	3	-14	16.1	12.8	3.25	12.5	15.5	-2.97

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	78	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-6	20	13.2	15.6	-2.37	15.2	13.2	1.98
David Lee	78	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-6	20	13.2	15.6	-2.37	15.2	13.2	1.98
Jared Jeffries	36	37	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-4	16	13.6	13.9	-0.31	16.1	14.0	2.09
Al Harrington	88	86	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	13.7	14.4	-0.69	15.2	12.2	2.97
Nate Robinson	53	52	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	7	-6	14.4	13.1	1.33	13.7	15.8	-2.10
Quentin Richardson	52	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	13.2	14.4	-1.26	15.2	14.2	0.99
Wilson Chandler	65	65	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	13	-18	13.9	13.6	0.31	14.0	16.1	-2.19
Danilo Gallinari	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	10	-12	15.9	13.3	2.60	14.4	14.8	-0.38
Tim Thomas	36	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	15.2	13.0	2.15	12.8	15.8	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 82, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%
NOH 93, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.85,0.89,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.8%
DEN 87, VAN 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.8%