NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	3.5 [1101]		MVP	Kelenna Azubuike (GSW): +8.8%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	1.7 [1128]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -7.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	9	72%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	35%	-0.00	1	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03
Cheikh Samb	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	16	45%	0.00	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	17	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Al Thornton	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	18	40%	0.01	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.03	7	53%	0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.03	0.08	8	83%	0.13	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	52%	0.05	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	75%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rob Kurz	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	11	42%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	32.4	15.0	23.1	2.5	28.8	129.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.3%

GSW +2.3%

GSW +3.5%

GSW +3.3%

GSW +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	16.0	13.2	15.5	93.9	108.1	106.4
season	15.7	13.8		100.7	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.1		111.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.0	14.6	16.8	16.8	16.0
GSW	12.8	13.1	13.4	13.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheikh Samb	20	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-14	13	15.4	16.2	-0.72	13.0	13.3	-0.36
Jason Hart	36	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.09	-3	-12	9	16.7	15.6	1.11	12.4	13.7	-1.37
Ricky Davis	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-1	-13	15.8	16.5	-0.67	13.0	13.8	-0.73
Eric Gordon	77	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-10	5	15.9	16.5	-0.58	13.8	10.6	3.27
DeAndre Jordan	85	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-5	-5	16.0	16.1	-0.07	13.1	13.9	-0.83
Steve Novak	45	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	16.4	15.7	0.78	12.8	13.6	-0.85
Fred Jones	73	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.7	17.0	-1.32	13.6	12.2	1.44
Al Thornton	81	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.15	-22	7	-29	16.2	15.2	1.02	13.3	12.9	0.42

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-7	29	12.5	14.7	-2.20	15.9	16.2	-0.29
Andris Biedrins	56	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.11	20	-5	25	12.4	14.3	-1.85	16.1	16.0	0.08
CJ Watson	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.10	17	-2	19	12.7	13.7	-1.02	16.3	15.7	0.57
Kelenna Azubuike	68	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-2	19	13.6	12.5	1.04	16.6	15.0	1.59
Anthony Randolph	28	29	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	12	-9	12.7	13.4	-0.67	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Anthony Morrow	78	79	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	16	-17	13.6	12.0	1.62	15.9	16.4	-0.43
Corey Maggette	46	47	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	3	9	13.0	13.4	-0.43	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Monta Ellis	45	44	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	13	-11	14.2	12.5	1.69	16.0	16.1	-0.08
Ronny Turiaf	35	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	12	-9	14.4	12.6	1.76	16.5	15.8	0.68
Rob Kurz	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	13.1	13.2	-0.15	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Jermareo Davidson	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	23	-31	13.9	13.2	0.70	14.1	16.2	-2.10
Marcus Williams	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	14.4	13.1	1.29	14.5	16.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 85, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
POR 77, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHX 86, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%