NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	117		Excitement	7.7 [285]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +26.0%
Toronto Raptors	113		Comeback	2.1 [707]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -17.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.26	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.13	0.00	20	62%	0.29	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Steve Nash	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.15	-0.00	0.15	-0.00	6	53%	0.21	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.06
Leandro Barbosa	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.05	0.08	-0.05	-0.02	11	64%	0.19	1	-0.14	3	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	73%	0.18	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	13	61%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alando Tucker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	0.01	9	89%	0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.00	0.00	15	61%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.02	-0.02	0.13	-0.12	0.03	17	68%	0.09	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	56%	0.11	5	-0.17	6	67%	-0.04
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	16	44%	-0.00	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	3.4	29.1	19.7	24.3	2.7	34.4	142.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +21.6%

PHX +14.9%

PHX +5.5%

PHX +5.7%

PHX +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.5	127.2	120.2	106.4
season	14.1	15.1		112.1	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		108.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	12.2	15.5	19.9	15.1
TOR	16.3	15.9	15.2	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	47	49	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-9	22	15.1	15.0	0.13	16.0	15.8	0.22
Jason Richardson	65	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	1	2	16.3	12.2	4.05	16.0	15.5	0.50
Steve Nash	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.40	2	2	0	14.6	16.9	-2.38	16.2	14.8	1.38
Amar'e Stoudemire	82	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	4	-4	15.3	13.2	2.12	16.1	14.5	1.57
Grant Hill	75	76	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	0	4	14.9	15.9	-0.98	15.4	17.8	-2.43
Jared Dudley	4	5	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	1	2	12.2	15.2	-2.97	17.0	15.8	1.19
Leandro Barbosa	39	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	3	-2	14.1	15.8	-1.66	16.1	15.7	0.36
Alando Tucker	8	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	2	0	14.7	15.1	-0.37	11.7	16.4	-4.67
Lou Amundson	20	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	7	-10	17.5	14.4	3.15	15.3	16.0	-0.76
Shaquille O'Neal	48	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	9	-14	14.1	16.1	-2.01	16.3	15.4	0.84

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	68	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-12	20	16.3	14.7	1.58	15.1	15.1	-0.01
Will Solomon	6	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	15.8	15.9	-0.04	10.2	15.4	-5.26
Jamario Moon	84	82	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-12	20	15.4	19.6	-4.17	15.6	10.9	4.70
Kris Humphries	18	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	3	-10	16.9	15.6	1.26	18.2	14.3	3.90
Jake Voskuhl	15	13	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	7	-18	14.4	16.2	-1.75	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Andrea Bargnani	85	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-6	8	15.6	18.1	-2.48	14.4	20.1	-5.68
Anthony Parker	88	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-4	4	15.7	19.0	-3.34	15.2	14.0	1.18
Roko Leni Ukic	34	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	8	-20	16.3	15.6	0.61	15.3	15.0	0.29
Joey Graham	72	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	1	-6	16.4	14.2	2.21	14.9	15.7	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.16,0.17,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.08,0	92.3%
TOR 95, PHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.28,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.04,0	91.8%
CHI 84, NJN 73	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.04,0,0	91.8%