NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	8.4 [184]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +60.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	121		Comeback	1.3 [1169]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): -23.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.33	0.11	0.22	-0.00	14	67%	0.43	1	-0.10	5	80%	0.04
Troy Murphy	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.05	0.01	14	86%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.06	0.03	17	62%	0.18	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.06
Josh McRoberts	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	61%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Travis Diener	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	8	44%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	-0.00	6	19%	-0.10	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.05,0.07,0.18,0.61	0.61	0.10	0.51	0.00	20	63%	0.74	5	-0.13	17	88%	0.10
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	10	74%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	71%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	-0.01	-0.03	13	66%	0.10	2	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.03	5	80%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sun Yue	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	31.2	17.8	26.4	2.4	40.3	145.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.2%

LAL +7.7%

IND -2.4%

LAL +21.2%

IND -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	13.3	15.7	15.5	117.8	123.5	106.4
season	14.1	14.9		106.5	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.3		102.6	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.0	13.6	14.0	12.7	13.3
LAL	15.3	15.7	16.1	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	39	38	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.09	9	-11	20	13.0	13.5	-0.44	15.9	15.5	0.39
Josh McRoberts	4	5	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-6	10	18.5	13.1	5.42	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Stephen Graham	45	44	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-9	16	13.8	12.9	0.99	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Brandon Rush	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-1	0	15.9	13.0	2.93	16.7	15.6	1.18
Roy Hibbert	33	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	8	-18	13.8	13.0	0.82	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Danny Granger	77	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-3	4	13.4	13.0	0.39	16.0	14.5	1.52
Travis Diener	53	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	1	-4	12.8	13.8	-1.02	15.9	15.5	0.37
Mike Dunleavy	51	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	1	-4	11.8	14.8	-2.98	15.2	16.2	-1.07
Jeff Foster	38	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-1	0	13.1	13.4	-0.39	15.5	15.8	-0.24
Troy Murphy	69	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	5	-12	13.9	12.1	1.76	15.8	15.4	0.37
Jarrett Jack	85	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	4	-10	13.1	14.4	-1.28	15.6	16.2	-0.67

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	88	90	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	15.3	18.8	-3.47	12.9	16.5	-3.65
Pau Gasol	86	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.36	7	-5	12	15.4	17.9	-2.54	13.1	14.4	-1.27
Vladimir Radmanovic	44	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-10	22	14.7	16.5	-1.78	13.3	13.3	0.07
Sasha Vujacic	58	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	5	-8	15.8	15.6	0.18	13.0	13.7	-0.61
Andrew Bynum	63	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	-1	4	15.8	15.4	0.44	13.6	12.8	0.86
Derek Fisher	85	86	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.42	-10	12	-22	15.7	15.5	0.26	13.4	12.8	0.58
Josh Powell	36	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	5	-8	16.8	15.0	1.77	14.3	12.7	1.54
Trevor Ariza	30	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	4	-6	17.1	15.0	2.09	13.5	13.2	0.32
Sun Yue	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	2	-2	0.0	15.7	-15.68	5.0	13.4	-8.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 79, SAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.74,1	93.4%
SAS 90, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.91,0.98,1	93.1%
MIL 107, NOH 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.92,1	93.0%