inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 87 Excitement1.4 [1314] MVPMarcin Gortat (ORL): +7.3%
Orlando Magic 121 Comeback1.1 [1070] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -6.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01550%0.0200.00475%-0.01
Maurice Evans0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02657%0.0200.002100%0.01
Randolph Morris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Othello Hunter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0310%-0.0000.0020%0.00
Solomon Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.08486%-0.0010.00667%-0.00
Mario West-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.0410%-0.011-0.0120%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.031242%-0.002-0.022100%-0.01
Ronald Murray-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.001237%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Acie Law-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.100.000.12770%-0.0310.009100%-0.01
Mike Bibby-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.031032%-0.021-0.012100%-0.00
Marvin Williams-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.011045%-0.033-0.0200%0.00
Josh Smith-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.021131%-0.061-0.01425%-0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.020.04-0.06743%0.0710.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.000.04878%0.0700.002100%-0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.120.000.06794%0.081-0.01475%-0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.010.05962%0.0400.003100%0.02
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.05492%0.022-0.014100%0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.020.04957%0.011-0.001040%-0.02
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03433%0.0010.001100%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02945%0.0010.002100%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jeremy Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03839%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.17-0.000.18995%0.012-0.024100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.32.430.416.427.42.428.5138.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +35.1%
ORL +8.0%
ORL +2.6%
ORL +3.4%
ORL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLORLNBAATLORLNBA
this game15.515.515.594.6128.7106.4
season15.815.3106.7107.3
opponent15.816.1101.4106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL17.016.415.113.615.5
ORL13.017.115.516.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Randolph Morris9100.00-0.500.50-0.269-435212.315.8-3.5016.515.41.14
Othello Hunter2123-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-414813.916.0-2.0514.915.7-0.75
Mario West2018-0.05-0.450.400.18-8-261815.715.40.2715.815.40.44
Acie Law5152-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-323014.516.7-2.1116.714.02.76
Solomon Jones4849-0.14-0.360.220.27-14-20614.216.9-2.7216.714.12.62
Maurice Evans4649-0.19-0.310.13-0.221-353613.817.2-3.4616.014.91.13
Ronald Murray5355-0.20-0.300.110.13-11-231214.217.3-3.0716.214.51.69
Mike Bibby4242-0.30-0.20-0.110.52-28-6-2216.914.32.6514.516.2-1.68
Marvin Williams4343-0.36-0.14-0.220.58-32-2-3017.014.22.8414.616.2-1.61
Al Horford4444-0.37-0.13-0.230.57-32-2-3017.313.83.5114.516.3-1.84
Josh Smith4344-0.39-0.11-0.270.46-29-5-2416.714.52.1815.215.8-0.60
Joe Johnson4041-0.44-0.06-0.370.47-31-3-2817.014.32.6714.016.6-2.62

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu47480.400.100.30-0.7138-44214.616.3-1.7216.614.22.37
Dwight Howard59580.370.130.23-0.603313215.016.3-1.2916.314.02.32
Rashard Lewis49480.360.140.22-0.633403414.316.7-2.3616.514.32.20
Courtney Lee38370.330.170.17-0.553042613.916.5-2.6117.514.23.30
Jameer Nelson47470.320.180.13-0.502862214.416.5-2.1117.413.44.00
JJ Redick40380.260.240.01-0.241717015.815.20.6015.015.8-0.79
Anthony Johnson47450.180.32-0.130.01628-2216.514.42.1113.417.4-4.00
Tony Battie31280.140.36-0.21-0.291519-417.114.72.3715.615.50.12
Marcin Gortat40390.130.37-0.230.25-438-4216.814.52.3013.616.9-3.34
Jeremy Richardson29290.000.50-0.500.41-1448-6217.114.82.3513.016.6-3.58
Brian Cook24240.000.50-0.500.27-943-5216.415.21.2613.616.2-2.58
Keith Bogans24240.000.50-0.500.27-943-5216.415.21.2613.616.2-2.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 84, UTA 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%
ATL 67, LAL 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
DET 86, MIL 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%