NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	7.7 [284]		MVP	Von Wafer (HOU): +26.2%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	3.5 [93]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -17.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Von Wafer	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,0.26	0.07	0.21	0.02	10	60%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	13	74%	0.27	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.08
Metta World Peace	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	13	61%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	16	58%	0.07	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	5	70%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.12	-0.00	4	42%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,-0.08	-0.08	0.11	-0.17	0.02	14	72%	0.14	4	-0.22	8	100%	0.06
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	13	43%	0.01	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.00	-0.17	-0.00	19	46%	-0.16	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	28.4	14.7	28.2	2.5	34.7	136.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +62.6%

BOS -26.1%

HOU +8.6%

BOS -1.5%

HOU +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	17.9	17.7	15.5	109.9	104.9	106.4
season	16.3	15.8		105.9	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.7	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.4	15.0	17.6	19.6	17.9
BOS	17.5	20.0	15.9	17.3	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	41	41	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.27	19	-15	34	17.4	18.4	-1.03	18.8	16.5	2.28
Carl Landry	45	44	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-4	12	19.0	16.5	2.53	17.6	17.8	-0.14
Aaron Brooks	62	61	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	18.1	17.1	1.08	18.0	16.6	1.43
Yao Ming	62	62	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.50	0	4	-4	17.4	19.4	-1.95	17.7	17.7	-0.01
Metta World Peace	50	53	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-8	20	16.2	20.6	-4.49	18.6	15.9	2.73
Von Wafer	47	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	15	-26	19.7	15.4	4.25	16.3	19.4	-3.18
Charles Hayes	29	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.17	4	0	4	15.9	19.0	-3.03	18.5	17.2	1.30
Luis Scola	26	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	8	-12	19.2	17.3	1.94	16.8	18.1	-1.23
Rafer Alston	43	43	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.05	-16	20	-36	18.0	17.7	0.36	16.4	19.1	-2.69

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	38	37	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.15	8	-12	20	17.3	18.0	-0.78	18.8	17.1	1.72
Gabe Pruitt	24	24	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-4	4	18.5	17.3	1.23	19.2	17.3	1.95
Leon Powe	27	27	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.18	-4	0	-4	18.6	17.2	1.37	17.6	18.0	-0.43
Brian Scalabrine	6	5	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-2	0	21.8	17.3	4.49	12.2	18.2	-6.05
Rajon Rondo	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-9	14	17.5	18.0	-0.52	17.4	19.1	-1.69
Eddie House	24	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	5	-14	18.0	17.5	0.52	19.1	17.4	1.69
Ray Allen	68	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	17.6	18.1	-0.47	17.8	18.4	-0.58
Paul Pierce	64	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.53	-3	-1	-2	17.0	20.1	-3.01	17.9	17.7	0.18
Kevin Garnett	59	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	1	-6	17.4	18.4	-0.94	17.4	19.0	-1.60
Kendrick Perkins	38	39	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.59	-7	3	-10	17.8	17.5	0.31	17.8	17.9	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.45,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.53,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.73,0	90.1%
CLE 111, NJN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.74,0	89.9%
DAL 98, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.62,0.46,0.15,0.27,0	89.4%