inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 96 Excitement5.2 [786] MVPJason Terry (DAL): +29.1%
Toronto Raptors 86 Comeback5.1 [286] LVPChris Bosh (TOR): -20.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Terry0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.210.110.021675%0.2900.00475%-0.01
Brandon Bass0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01667%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jason Kidd0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.01658%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Josh Howard0.040,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.000.001562%0.083-0.042100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.050.042061%0.185-0.144100%0.02
Shawne Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.03-0.00437%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Devean George-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.0130%-0.052-0.0700%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamario Moon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.130.040.01793%0.1600.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.001554%0.0700.005100%0.03
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.02580%0.0500.0000%0.00
Roko Leni Ukic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.010.00564%0.0400.001100%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.02525%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00750%0.031-0.042100%0.02
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.010.04736%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.020.031244%-0.072-0.031100%0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.22,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.16-0.030.012029%-0.142-0.0720%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.427.616.523.22.727.2122.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +62.8%
TOR -7.3%
DAL +13.2%
TOR -17.4%
TOR -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALTORNBADALTORNBA
this game16.615.515.5106.796.6106.4
season15.615.1108.9105.0
opponent15.615.4108.0107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.616.715.818.516.6
TOR13.816.818.513.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki74720.56-0.060.610.2991816.517.1-0.6015.316.4-1.01
Jason Terry64630.400.100.310.1491816.816.20.6215.415.8-0.32
Jason Kidd62620.400.100.300.111001016.716.60.0915.715.10.67
Devean George43420.400.100.300.111001016.616.7-0.1416.015.10.83
Erick Dampier55550.300.200.110.2528-616.716.50.1515.615.40.25
Jose Juan Barea39380.230.27-0.050.1437-417.316.11.1914.916.0-1.17
Josh Howard44440.150.35-0.200.15010-1016.117.1-1.0214.716.3-1.56
Brandon Bass39380.120.38-0.25-0.0255016.816.50.3315.215.8-0.57
DeSagana Diop12130.010.49-0.47-0.1046-216.416.7-0.2517.215.31.89
Shawne Williams1818-0.090.59-0.67-0.03-212-1415.916.8-0.9317.515.02.46

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Roko Leni Ukic2122-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-9815.015.7-0.6417.016.50.43
Joey Graham3636-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-111216.215.11.1515.117.7-2.58
Kris Humphries44-0.09-0.410.320.09-6-4-221.215.35.9810.216.9-6.68
Jason Kapono4647-0.15-0.350.19-0.10-2-8614.716.4-1.7017.116.10.95
Jermaine O'Neal7172-0.24-0.260.03-0.261-111215.316.4-1.1317.214.32.94
Andrea Bargnani3432-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-122-1416.614.91.6515.217.4-2.15
Chris Bosh6972-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.28-3-7414.917.6-2.6617.015.11.90
Anthony Parker4544-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.13-8-2-616.015.00.9816.316.9-0.62
Jamario Moon5153-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.07-111-1215.415.8-0.3917.515.32.22
Jose Calderon6868-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.15-9-1-815.715.00.6416.517.0-0.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 99, LAC 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0,092.9%
PHX 105, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,092.7%
MIL 88, BOS 790.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.01,0,0,092.7%