NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	4.1 [1013]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +21.4%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	1.2 [832]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): -9.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.14	-0.02	0.09	22	63%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.08	18	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Oden	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	0%	-0.04
Rudy Fernandez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.22	0.02	0.03	14	77%	0.21	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	12	52%	0.06	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	16	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.8	30.2	19.8	31.2	3.6	33.5	144.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.9%

UTA +9.9%

POR -2.6%

UTA +10.4%

UTA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.5	100.0	110.2	106.4
season	16.7	15.3		111.0	107.7
opponent	15.0	16.0		105.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	17.4	18.9	16.4	17.5
UTA	16.0	15.4	13.3	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	19	20	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-11	13	16.8	17.7	-0.88	15.6	15.1	0.53
Channing Frye	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-6	3	18.8	17.4	1.43	13.6	15.4	-1.78
Joel Przybilla	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-8	7	17.7	17.5	0.20	14.4	15.6	-1.25
Sergio Rodriguez	35	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	18.1	17.2	0.96	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Steve Blake	53	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-6	3	17.2	18.1	-0.96	15.9	13.9	2.01
Rudy Fernandez	56	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-5	1	16.7	19.1	-2.40	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	23	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	3	-15	20.9	16.4	4.52	13.9	15.7	-1.76
Brandon Roy	78	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-5	1	17.3	19.0	-1.65	15.5	12.9	2.59
Greg Oden	58	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	17.5	17.7	-0.20	15.6	14.4	1.25
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	17.4	18.8	-1.43	15.4	13.6	1.78

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	73	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-5	19	15.5	13.9	1.60	17.1	19.6	-2.49
Paul Millsap	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-3	15	15.4	13.7	1.68	17.4	18.8	-1.43
Mehmet Okur	74	73	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.31	3	6	-3	15.4	14.2	1.16	16.8	20.9	-4.02
Andrei Kirilenko	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	6	-3	15.4	14.8	0.65	17.2	18.0	-0.76
Kyle Korver	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	15.3	15.1	0.20	17.3	17.7	-0.38
Ronnie Brewer	48	48	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	3	3	15.1	15.3	-0.20	17.7	17.3	0.38
CJ Miles	44	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	6	-3	14.5	15.8	-1.30	18.2	16.9	1.30
Matt Harpring	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	3	3	14.2	15.4	-1.16	20.9	16.8	4.02
Brevin Knight	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	14	-19	13.9	15.5	-1.60	19.6	17.1	2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 91, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	95.9%
HOU 87, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 56, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%