NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	9.6 [82]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +45.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	96		Comeback	30.9 [45]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -29.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.45	0.03	0.42	0.00	17	54%	0.51	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.05
Kyle Korver	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.26	0.01	0.26	0.00	4	60%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.10	0.01	12	71%	0.32	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	10	30%	-0.04	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	11	40%	-0.03	5	-0.15	8	100%	0.04
Paul Millsap	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,-0.05,-0.21	0.02	-0.23	0.01	7	75%	0.15	4	-0.36	6	83%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.38	0.38	0.02	0.36	0.00	11	57%	0.44	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.20
Craig Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	8	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	20	44%	0.01	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	5	50%	-0.10	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	12	29%	-0.02	2	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	9	30%	-0.16	4	-0.14	9	22%	-0.20

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	31.3	15.4	32.5	2.6	43.2	154.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +101.8%

MIN -13.2%

MIN -16.5%

MIN -19.5%

MIN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	14.1	16.1	15.5	104.2	100.0	106.4
season	15.3	15.8		107.7	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.3	14.5	12.4	15.5	14.1
MIN	16.2	19.1	14.3	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	76	77	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.45	15	-12	27	13.7	15.7	-2.07	15.5	18.5	-3.01
Mehmet Okur	81	83	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.42	13	-10	23	13.6	16.9	-3.25	15.4	20.4	-5.00
Deron Williams	74	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-5	13	14.0	14.2	-0.20	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Kyle Korver	40	40	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	4	-5	14.7	13.6	1.06	16.5	15.7	0.79
Andrei Kirilenko	42	44	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.52	-3	6	-9	13.7	14.4	-0.62	16.9	15.3	1.56
CJ Miles	31	32	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	-4	11	14.2	14.0	0.21	16.6	15.8	0.80
Matt Harpring	7	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	7	-11	17.0	13.9	3.15	24.3	15.5	8.82
Brevin Knight	21	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	8	-13	14.2	14.0	0.20	16.4	16.0	0.39
Paul Millsap	64	64	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.18	1	2	-1	14.7	12.7	1.99	16.6	15.0	1.55
Kosta Koufos	12	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	11	-19	14.3	14.0	0.29	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Morris Almond	27	27	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.16	-8	11	-19	13.7	14.2	-0.48	14.8	16.6	-1.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	51	52	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.18	-2	-1	-1	16.1	16.0	0.16	14.4	13.7	0.71
Sebastian Telfair	18	18	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.07	6	-9	15	17.6	15.7	1.84	14.9	13.9	0.99
Brian Cardinal	9	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-6	9	14.0	16.3	-2.28	15.0	14.0	0.99
Rodney Carney	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.24	7	-10	17	18.4	15.3	3.14	15.7	13.6	2.13
Ryan Gomes	70	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	3	-9	15.2	18.4	-3.18	13.6	15.3	-1.68
Randy Foye	74	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-2	1	15.7	17.2	-1.45	14.6	12.5	2.12
Rashad McCants	51	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	8	-19	15.4	16.8	-1.39	13.1	15.2	-2.04
Al Jefferson	77	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	2	-7	16.2	15.4	0.80	13.9	14.8	-0.88
Kevin Love	55	52	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.54	-2	-1	-1	16.1	16.0	0.11	13.9	14.3	-0.48
Kevin Ollie	51	51	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.50	-4	1	-5	16.7	15.3	1.46	13.9	14.3	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.91,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.69,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.55,0.53,0	90.6%
LAL 87, DEN 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.69,0	90.5%
CHA 85, NJN 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.73,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.57,0.41,0	90.5%