NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	2.4 [1255]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +7.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Comeback	1.1 [1301]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -12.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	18	56%	0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	4	0%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	12	57%	0.01	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	6	23%	-0.00	3	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Anthony Roberson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.11	14	68%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.19	0.00	-0.08	9	27%	-0.05	6	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	0.03	14	43%	-0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	10	70%	0.07	0	0.00	10	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	73%	0.11	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	6	76%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	73%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.00	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	15	47%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	46%	-0.00	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	7	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	32.6	15.4	25.4	2.4	26.6	127.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.8%

CLE +9.4%

CLE +5.4%

CLE +11.5%

CLE +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	14.0	14.6	15.5	81.2	118.0	106.4
season	13.8	16.9		106.2	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.1	14.6	13.3	15.1	14.0
CLE	15.8	12.1	16.7	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	40	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.10	-5	-31	26	14.7	13.6	1.13	14.7	14.6	0.07
Wilson Chandler	70	70	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.37	-21	-15	-6	14.0	14.0	0.08	15.2	13.3	1.87
Anthony Roberson	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.30	-19	-17	-2	14.5	13.4	1.16	14.9	14.3	0.51
Al Harrington	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.48	-27	-9	-18	13.9	14.3	-0.31	14.9	13.7	1.23
Quentin Richardson	39	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	-15	-6	13.2	14.5	-1.29	13.5	15.4	-1.88
Chris Duhon	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.42	-28	-8	-20	13.6	14.8	-1.21	14.6	14.8	-0.19
David Lee	89	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.35	-26	-10	-16	13.7	16.2	-2.44	14.7	14.2	0.47
Tim Thomas	63	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.53	-33	-3	-30	14.5	13.2	1.30	14.1	15.5	-1.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	60	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.42	30	6	24	14.2	15.3	-1.14	13.4	15.0	-1.60
Daniel Gibson	58	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.38	26	10	16	13.6	16.1	-2.47	14.3	13.6	0.69
Anderson Varejao	43	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.32	24	12	12	13.7	15.4	-1.65	14.0	14.0	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	40	40	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.42	27	9	18	13.1	15.6	-2.53	13.7	14.2	-0.49
Ben Wallace	49	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.31	22	14	8	14.1	15.2	-1.05	13.6	14.5	-0.87
Delonte West	56	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	25	-14	16.0	12.9	3.09	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Mo Williams	52	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.17	11	25	-14	15.9	13.2	2.71	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	26	-16	15.8	13.6	2.24	14.2	13.8	0.40
JJ Hickson	35	33	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.17	6	30	-24	15.4	14.2	1.21	14.5	13.8	0.65
Sasha Pavlovic	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.29	10	26	-16	14.3	14.7	-0.43	15.1	13.7	1.40
Darnell Jackson	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	33	-30	14.3	14.7	-0.45	14.3	13.9	0.41
Tarence Kinsey	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	36	-36	14.9	14.6	0.27	16.4	13.6	2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, DEN 129	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
CLE 99, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
NJN 123, MIL 132	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%