inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 82 Excitement1.2 [1315] MVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +6.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 117 Comeback1.0 [1314] LVPJeff Green (OKC): -8.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Weaver0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.06237%0.0020.01475%0.00
Mouhamed Sene0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0010.004100%0.00
Johan Petro-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00744%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.081436%-0.0010.00862%-0.01
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.03367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Wilcox-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.110.000.12778%-0.0100.004100%-0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03425%-0.0200.00475%0.00
Earl Watson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.061032%-0.012-0.02250%-0.00
Kevin Durant-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.001639%-0.042-0.021100%-0.00
Jeff Green-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.031231%-0.052-0.0320%-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.150.010.09985%0.0700.002100%-0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001258%0.0600.0000%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00657%0.0300.0020%-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.06681%0.031-0.00475%-0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.00-0.061354%0.0340.002100%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.020.02287%0.042-0.02475%-0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.011254%0.022-0.002100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06387%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tarence Kinsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.083100%0.0020.005100%0.00
Darnell Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.01367%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.070.00-0.06331%-0.012-0.00729%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.428.415.624.21.835.3134.1
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +42.0%
OKC -0.7%
CLE +6.3%
CLE +3.3%
OKC -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCCLENBAOKCCLENBA
this game15.114.815.586.3119.4106.4
season14.916.9100.5110.6
opponent15.215.1101.0106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.015.719.810.815.1
CLE13.415.016.414.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mouhamed Sene14140.00-0.500.500.09-3-32299.616.0-6.3813.714.9-1.23
Johan Petro2928-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-404510.817.0-6.2314.614.8-0.27
Kyle Weaver4446-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-373912.717.2-4.5214.315.2-0.95
Joe Smith2631-0.20-0.300.100.15-12-231118.613.84.8113.115.6-2.49
Russell Westbrook6162-0.27-0.23-0.030.20-16-19314.416.3-1.8413.616.7-3.09
Chris Wilcox4345-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-11-241315.714.61.1613.216.1-2.89
Nick Collison4039-0.30-0.20-0.100.52-28-7-2115.914.51.5016.313.82.48
Damien Wilkins7070-0.31-0.19-0.120.19-17-18113.519.5-5.9715.513.02.42
Earl Watson4648-0.35-0.15-0.190.51-29-6-2317.213.14.0515.813.81.97
Jeff Green4546-0.37-0.13-0.250.53-31-4-2716.713.73.0116.213.52.78
Kevin Durant5761-0.42-0.08-0.340.60-350-3517.511.46.0615.014.40.62

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams44410.360.140.22-0.462872116.413.42.9417.113.53.63
Delonte West52500.350.150.19-0.502962315.014.50.4617.312.64.64
LeBron James31300.320.180.14-0.3824111315.614.41.1918.613.55.14
Wally Szczerbiak51480.290.210.08-0.151520-514.015.6-1.5515.614.61.05
Daniel Gibson60580.280.220.07-0.101322-913.516.8-3.2614.416.2-1.81
Anderson Varejao42390.260.240.03-0.291916313.515.7-2.2116.414.12.29
Ben Wallace24240.230.27-0.03-0.291817117.713.83.9518.214.04.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas24230.210.29-0.08-0.261619-317.713.83.9517.914.23.73
JJ Hickson68660.180.32-0.14-0.201322-914.415.7-1.3013.618.6-4.99
Sasha Pavlovic40410.010.49-0.480.01035-3514.614.9-0.2811.317.9-6.58
Darnell Jackson32320.000.50-0.490.06-237-3914.215.0-0.8611.117.1-5.97
Tarence Kinsey22230.000.50-0.50-0.06233-3113.315.2-1.8711.016.4-5.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 100, CHI 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,198.4%
NYK 85, UTA 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%
DEN 65, POR 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%