NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	6.0 [625]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +28.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	3.6 [712]		LVP	Kosta Koufos (UTA): -4.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Price	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.02	8	75%	0.16	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.03	5	69%	0.09	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	63%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	11	60%	0.14	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	12	53%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	41%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Morris Almond	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	33%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.23	0.10	0.04	21	72%	0.36	2	-0.07	11	82%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.03	3	56%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	18	54%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	6	53%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	11	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	11	62%	0.14	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	33.2	17.5	27.5	3.3	27.7	137.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.5%

CLE +3.2%

CLE +23.1%

CLE +8.5%

CLE +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.5	103.3	115.4	106.4
season	15.3	16.9		107.7	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		101.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.6	16.0	16.5	16.0	16.0
CLE	12.2	18.2	14.8	19.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	17.4	15.9	1.52	13.0	16.0	-3.00
Kyle Korver	41	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-15	18	16.0	16.0	0.00	18.6	13.4	5.28
Kosta Koufos	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-10	8	16.4	15.6	0.85	17.0	14.4	2.64
Morris Almond	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-18	24	14.3	17.4	-3.09	16.0	15.7	0.32
Brevin Knight	40	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-14	16	16.2	15.9	0.32	19.1	13.1	6.00
CJ Miles	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	1	-14	17.4	15.2	2.28	14.8	16.4	-1.68
Paul Millsap	54	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-9	6	15.3	17.1	-1.81	16.2	15.1	1.16
Ronnie Price	50	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	2	-16	15.9	16.2	-0.32	13.1	19.1	-6.00
Ronnie Brewer	64	63	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	8	-28	16.3	15.2	1.11	14.4	19.0	-4.67
Carlos Boozer	71	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	8	-28	16.2	15.5	0.70	14.8	19.2	-4.35

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	79	76	0.93	-0.43	1.36	-0.04	33	-21	54	15.8	15.8	-0.04	16.8	11.9	4.85
Delonte West	76	75	0.87	-0.37	1.24	-0.01	30	-18	48	15.6	16.9	-1.35	16.8	11.9	4.91
Ben Wallace	64	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	-8	28	16.1	15.1	0.93	16.7	14.2	2.58
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	49	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-7	26	16.4	15.1	1.22	17.3	14.6	2.68
Anderson Varejao	50	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	10	-8	15.9	15.7	0.22	15.0	17.2	-2.19
Mo Williams	75	72	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	10	-8	16.4	13.2	3.17	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Daniel Gibson	31	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	15.0	16.2	-1.22	14.7	16.8	-2.09
Wally Szczerbiak	14	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	21	-30	12.8	16.4	-3.56	13.3	16.6	-3.23
Sasha Pavlovic	7	8	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	25	-38	16.6	15.7	0.83	15.7	16.0	-0.30
JJ Hickson	10	10	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.17	-18	30	-48	14.5	16.0	-1.46	8.8	16.9	-8.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.63,0.79,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
HOU 96, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	92.5%
ORL 89, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.83,0.77,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%