NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	6.4 [520]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +39.0%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	3.7 [686]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -25.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.39	0.15	0.20	-0.03	15	65%	0.39	0	0.00	10	100%	0.11
Allen Iverson	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	19	62%	0.24	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.01
Will Bynum	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	16	42%	0.03	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.01	15	59%	0.16	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	14	60%	0.11	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	12	38%	-0.06	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26	-0.26	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	16	21%	-0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	33.2	15.4	27.6	2.8	33.2	139.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -13.4%

DET +38.7%

SAC -3.1%

DET +29.4%

SAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SAC	NBA	DET	SAC	NBA
this game	16.6	15.9	15.5	112.4	104.5	106.4
season	16.9	15.0		104.9	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		112.7	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.7	15.3	16.7	19.0	16.6
SAC	13.6	17.5	17.6	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	28	27	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-2	12	18.4	15.8	2.55	16.9	15.5	1.38
Allen Iverson	84	83	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	1	6	16.7	14.8	1.91	16.0	15.2	0.78
Rasheed Wallace	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-3	14	16.6	16.5	0.14	16.2	14.8	1.39
Tayshaun Prince	80	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	5	-2	16.7	15.3	1.42	16.0	15.5	0.49
Richard Hamilton	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	9	-10	17.4	14.4	2.93	15.5	17.2	-1.73
Arron Afflalo	34	34	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-6	20	14.9	17.6	-2.70	16.1	15.9	0.21
Kwame Brown	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	3	2	15.6	17.2	-1.58	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Jason Maxiell	22	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	14	-20	15.4	17.0	-1.65	16.1	15.9	0.21
Amir Johnson	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	11	-14	16.4	16.7	-0.26	15.2	16.3	-1.16

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	57	59	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-12	16	15.0	17.7	-2.74	15.8	18.1	-2.25
Shelden Williams	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-8	8	19.5	15.8	3.65	8.5	16.8	-8.29
Beno Udrih	68	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-14	20	16.0	15.8	0.17	17.4	14.3	3.10
Jason Thompson	76	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-7	6	15.9	16.1	-0.18	16.2	19.2	-2.98
John Salmons	76	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-7	6	15.7	17.7	-2.01	17.6	9.5	8.06
Brad Miller	70	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	16.1	15.4	0.68	16.8	16.0	0.77
Bobby Brown	20	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	6	-20	15.8	16.0	-0.17	14.3	17.4	-3.10
Bobby Jackson	24	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	6	-20	16.9	15.6	1.30	14.7	17.3	-2.54
Spencer Hawes	47	47	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	7	-22	16.7	15.0	1.74	17.7	15.4	2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.22,0.24,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, ORL 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.19,0.05,0.07,0.07,0,0.02,0	92.2%
LAL 100, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.38,0.22,0.33,0.08,0	92.0%
TOR 89, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	92.0%