NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	76		Excitement	5.8 [617]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +16.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	2.0 [1073]		LVP	Earl Barron (MIA): -12.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephane Lasme	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.06	0.03	3	75%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Joel Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.03	8	72%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Kasib Powell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	0.05	11	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Barron	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	14	41%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	7	53%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.07
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	9	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	9	48%	0.03	5	-0.11	9	78%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	18	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	7	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	31.0	14.8	25.0	2.7	33.3	134.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.2%

CLE +8.6%

CLE +29.0%

MIA -5.5%

MIA -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	17.4	16.5	15.4	90.5	97.7	105.7
season	16.0	16.4		99.0	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.4		104.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.2	17.2	18.6	16.8	17.4
CLE	16.3	15.5	19.3	15.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephane Lasme	37	36	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-11	14	16.6	18.1	-1.49	17.9	15.5	2.40
Ricky Davis	79	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-10	12	17.4	17.2	0.24	16.6	14.9	1.75
Chris Quinn	60	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-5	2	17.7	16.8	0.83	16.0	17.6	-1.55
Mark Blount	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.16	-2	-6	4	16.3	19.2	-2.84	15.8	17.5	-1.66
Kasib Powell	52	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	18.1	16.3	1.85	16.0	17.2	-1.21
Jason Williams	27	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-4	0	16.8	17.7	-0.90	17.2	16.1	1.05
Joel Anthony	22	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	3	-14	21.3	16.0	5.27	16.8	16.3	0.47
Earl Barron	45	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	17.8	16.9	0.90	17.0	15.9	1.09
Daequan Cook	46	49	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	2	-12	16.3	18.8	-2.53	15.9	17.2	-1.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	52	53	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.22	17	-9	26	16.3	16.7	-0.35	18.0	16.5	1.45
Daniel Gibson	59	56	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.26	12	-4	16	15.5	18.6	-3.05	17.1	18.1	-1.02
Devin Brown	44	41	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-5	18	17.7	15.2	2.44	17.6	17.3	0.31
Sasha Pavlovic	35	33	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	2	4	16.6	16.4	0.18	17.7	17.3	0.39
Anderson Varejao	43	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	9	-10	18.1	14.9	3.21	17.8	17.1	0.69
Ben Wallace	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	1	6	15.7	17.1	-1.39	17.8	17.1	0.63
Delonte West	45	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	15.8	17.2	-1.40	17.5	17.3	0.19
LeBron James	64	63	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	11	-14	15.6	19.0	-3.47	17.1	18.3	-1.21
Wally Szczerbiak	18	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	14	-20	18.4	16.0	2.43	17.0	17.5	-0.55
Joe Smith	33	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	15	-22	17.1	16.1	0.97	16.5	18.0	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	93.5%
UTA 80, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1	93.0%
MIL 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.9%