NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	6.1 [555]		MVP	Dan Dickau (LAC): +9.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	84		Comeback	1.6 [383]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): -12.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	8	72%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	14	58%	0.15	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.04	0.03	15	64%	0.18	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Nick Fazekas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.00	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	15	57%	0.08	5	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.02	23	59%	0.18	5	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	15	37%	-0.08	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	25	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	24.1	15.4	26.7	2.6	29.3	127.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +58.0%

LAC +8.2%

SEA -6.1%

SEA -10.7%

LAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	15.4	103.0	85.7	105.7
season	15.6	14.5		99.5	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		107.9	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	16.4	14.8	13.8	14.6
SEA	13.1	12.4	16.5	16.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	45	43	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.10	26	-8	34	12.9	16.1	-3.14	16.0	13.6	2.39
Nick Fazekas	36	35	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	1	16	14.9	14.5	0.41	15.8	14.0	1.85
Al Thornton	87	86	0.48	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	2	14	14.6	15.0	-0.43	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Elton Brand	51	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	11	-4	15.9	13.3	2.59	14.6	14.6	0.04
Smush Parker	34	34	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	17	-16	16.7	13.5	3.21	14.4	14.7	-0.40
Quinton Ross	65	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	13	-8	14.4	15.1	-0.66	14.7	14.5	0.17
Josh Powell	60	61	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.19	9	9	0	13.6	16.2	-2.61	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Corey Maggette	69	69	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.39	14	4	10	14.0	16.0	-2.02	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Marcus Williams	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	20	-22	16.4	14.3	2.09	12.7	15.0	-2.30
Brevin Knight	33	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	21	-24	15.5	14.2	1.29	14.1	14.9	-0.76

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	45	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-12	6	14.9	14.3	0.59	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Jeff Green	83	84	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-6	-6	14.3	16.1	-1.80	14.6	14.9	-0.36
Johan Petro	55	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-11	4	14.0	15.4	-1.44	15.4	13.7	1.70
Nick Collison	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-6	-6	15.3	13.3	1.98	14.9	14.1	0.82
Luke Ridnour	44	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-16	14	14.7	14.6	0.13	15.2	14.2	0.95
Kevin Durant	86	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-2	-14	14.2	17.3	-3.10	14.8	13.5	1.34
Francisco Elson	31	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-6	-6	14.8	14.5	0.28	13.1	15.4	-2.30
Earl Watson	80	81	-0.61	0.12	-0.73	0.06	-23	5	-28	14.9	13.3	1.63	14.6	14.8	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.07,0,0.01,0,0	93.5%
OKC 89, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,0,0	93.2%
ATL 106, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%