NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	6.0 [574]		MVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): +22.6%
Houston Rockets	108		Comeback	1.2 [1176]		LVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): -5.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.03	0.04	7	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Quincy Douby	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	11	69%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	13	65%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	39%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	17	50%	0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	17	67%	0.23	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	2	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	47%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.01	16	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	77%	0.09	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.7	28.2	15.8	27.3	2.6	41.0	142.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -4.7%

HOU +35.5%

HOU +9.5%

HOU +11.7%

SAC -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	16.8	15.4	114.9	122.7	105.7
season	14.9	16.2		105.6	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.3	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.2	17.1	15.5	15.1	16.2
HOU	17.0	18.0	16.5	15.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	51	50	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-15	22	15.4	17.3	-1.91	17.6	15.7	1.92
Spencer Hawes	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-14	20	15.4	16.6	-1.14	18.0	16.0	2.01
Quincy Douby	18	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-9	10	14.3	16.7	-2.37	17.5	16.6	0.97
Beno Udrih	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-5	2	16.8	16.0	0.75	18.8	16.3	2.50
John Salmons	48	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-7	6	15.0	17.6	-2.54	16.5	17.0	-0.55
Mikki Moore	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	1	-10	17.0	15.2	1.78	16.9	16.5	0.43
Metta World Peace	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	16.2	15.9	0.28	16.7	17.1	-0.47
Anthony Johnson	38	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	3	-14	17.0	15.5	1.44	16.4	17.0	-0.64
Kevin Martin	55	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	2	-12	17.0	14.7	2.28	15.6	18.9	-3.32
Brad Miller	55	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	6	-20	16.6	15.4	1.14	16.0	18.0	-2.01

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	73	74	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-5	18	16.7	17.1	-0.46	16.5	14.0	2.54
Bobby Jackson	23	23	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	-1	10	18.1	16.3	1.87	16.3	16.1	0.19
Luis Scola	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	1	6	17.8	16.0	1.83	17.9	14.8	3.08
Shane Battier	72	70	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	5	-2	16.2	19.2	-3.06	15.9	17.4	-1.48
Dikembe Mutombo	30	30	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	-1	10	17.2	16.5	0.68	17.5	15.5	1.99
Rafer Alston	71	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	7	-6	16.5	17.6	-1.04	16.2	16.1	0.04
Charles Hayes	58	56	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	6	-4	16.2	17.8	-1.59	15.4	17.6	-2.26
Carl Landry	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	9	-10	15.9	17.6	-1.71	14.9	17.6	-2.65
Luther Head	30	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	18.2	16.0	2.25	15.6	16.4	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.69,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 79, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.85,1	93.8%
MIA 88, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.8%
NOP 104, LAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.91,0.97,0.91,0.85,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%