inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 83 Excitement7.4 [315] MVPLuther Head (HOU): +6.4%
Atlanta Hawks 75 Comeback2.0 [732] LVPMike Bibby (ATL): -20.0%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luther Head0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.00570%0.0600.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.011154%0.102-0.05683%0.03
Bobby Jackson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.05-0.00743%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Steve Novak0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00050%0.0000.00450%-0.02
Charles Hayes0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.020.00667%0.093-0.0900%0.00
Michael Harris-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Luis Scola-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01932%-0.0600.00475%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.23,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.06-0.11-0.012841%-0.141-0.031258%-0.03
Rafer Alston-0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.16-0.03-0.011822%-0.131-0.0400%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.01855%0.0600.00475%-0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,00.000.01-0.000.002548%0.042-0.04887%0.06
Jeremy Richardson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00167%0.042-0.064100%0.03
Salim Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.02850%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.041743%0.004-0.07367%-0.01
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.050.0010%-0.032-0.0700%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.10-0.070.031231%-0.162-0.04250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.327.815.827.01.829.3132.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +18.1%
ATL -8.7%
HOU +23.4%
HOU +13.0%
HOU +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUATLNBAHOUATLNBA
this game19.013.415.493.384.3105.7
season16.215.4104.6104.2
opponent15.715.2107.2100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU18.519.217.420.819.0
ATL12.313.516.112.013.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charles Hayes63620.60-0.100.690.2512-41618.320.5-2.1312.814.9-2.08
Luis Scola45450.59-0.090.670.2113-51819.818.11.6213.513.30.26
Shane Battier80800.450.050.400.2762419.018.20.8213.611.22.43
Tracy McGrady76760.310.190.130.2917-619.217.31.9313.214.6-1.42
Rafer Alston68680.260.240.020.2026-419.417.51.9413.812.21.59
Bobby Jackson21210.240.26-0.020.0662417.519.4-1.9412.213.8-1.59
Luther Head34360.140.36-0.230.0244017.220.0-2.8314.412.71.70
Steve Novak16160.090.41-0.310.0135-218.519.1-0.5512.013.7-1.71
Michael Harris1413-0.030.53-0.570.03-210-1220.418.71.6612.813.5-0.65
Dikembe Mutombo2828-0.140.64-0.790.00-513-1819.718.61.1614.213.01.18

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Salim Stoudamire14150.02-0.520.55-0.032-101212.913.5-0.5618.819.0-0.19
Jeremy Richardson100.00-0.500.500.000-880.013.6-13.560.019.0-18.96
Mario West1614-0.12-0.380.26-0.00-4-4014.113.30.8015.619.6-4.02
Josh Childress1516-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-6411.613.8-2.1718.219.1-0.94
Al Horford6767-0.18-0.320.15-0.180-8813.612.90.7219.916.03.99
Acie Law2020-0.23-0.270.030.03-91-1014.313.11.1615.020.1-5.10
Mike Bibby7675-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.332-101213.413.30.1119.715.14.52
Zaza Pachulia2122-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.09-80-813.513.40.0916.019.9-3.99
Joe Johnson8484-0.39-0.12-0.27-0.30-3-5213.511.42.1219.411.48.00
Josh Smith7171-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.16-91-1013.513.00.5119.317.61.75
Marvin Williams6061-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.18-91-1013.213.9-0.6819.418.11.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.29,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.07,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 98, PHI 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.1,092.0%
UTA 112, PHX 1040.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.01,091.9%
TOR 107, ATL 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.03,0.01,0,091.9%