NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	120		Excitement	9.7 [69]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +61.5%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	1.2 [811]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -18.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.04	0.23	-0.04	13	52%	0.31	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	8	65%	0.17	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.06
Joel Przybilla	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	78%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	18	49%	0.06	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.09
Channing Frye	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Brandon Roy	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,-0.12,-0.18,-0.17,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.12	0.01	22	59%	0.14	2	-0.19	2	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	27%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61	0.61	0.23	0.37	-0.01	28	65%	0.69	2	-0.08	13	85%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	14	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.01	11	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.11	0.02	20	47%	-0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	0.00	6	47%	-0.02	2	-0.17	5	40%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	27.3	18.6	28.3	2.4	41.5	2.4	12.3	160.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +7.9%

POR +15.6%

POR +31.4%

NYK -8.3%

POR +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	14.6	15.4	115.4	115.2	105.7
season	16.7	15.7		105.5	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.6	19.2	14.2	17.9	17.8	16.7
NYK	14.4	16.8	14.0	14.0	13.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	72	66	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.54	11	-5	16	16.5	17.1	-0.56	14.7	14.4	0.32
Steve Blake	77	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-8	22	15.6	19.8	-4.24	14.5	15.0	-0.59
LaMarcus Aldridge	79	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	0	6	16.1	18.6	-2.48	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Brandon Roy	83	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	3	0	17.5	13.6	3.89	14.0	16.7	-2.68
Channing Frye	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	-1	8	14.6	17.8	-3.24	16.7	13.3	3.39
Jarrett Jack	49	48	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.33	-4	10	-14	16.8	16.6	0.16	15.6	13.7	1.86
Travis Outlaw	32	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	18.1	16.1	2.01	15.2	14.3	0.91
Joel Przybilla	49	45	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	12	-18	18.3	15.2	3.17	13.4	15.6	-2.21
James Jones	32	35	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.28	-3	9	-12	17.1	16.5	0.56	14.2	14.8	-0.67

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	23	23	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-13	20	18.1	13.5	4.59	17.2	16.5	0.70
Fred Jones	78	82	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.42	9	-15	24	13.6	18.2	-4.61	16.8	16.4	0.39
Malik Rose	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	5	-16	14.8	14.6	0.24	17.1	16.6	0.46
Jared Jeffries	55	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	14.3	14.9	-0.59	16.5	16.9	-0.36
Nate Robinson	97	103	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	14.7	9.5	5.21	16.6	23.0	-6.39
Quentin Richardson	93	99	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	0	-6	14.2	20.2	-5.92	16.6	18.8	-2.23
David Lee	89	93	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.25	-9	3	-12	14.5	15.2	-0.66	16.4	18.7	-2.30
Wilson Chandler	49	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	10	-26	15.3	13.9	1.47	17.1	16.2	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.16,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 109, POR 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.15,0.29,0.28,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.02,0	90.8%
IND 86, VAN 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.22,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	90.5%
NYK 88, LAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.09,0	89.6%