inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 96 Excitement8.9 [122] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +38.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Comeback5.0 [422] LVPMichael Redd (MIL): -24.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.390,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.390.130.280.021767%0.583-0.201182%0.03
Ime Udoka0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.040.080.00567%0.1300.002100%0.08
Fabricio Oberto0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.03-0.01150%0.031-0.012100%0.02
Michael Finley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00955%0.052-0.052100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,-0.050.02-0.070.001662%0.084-0.131040%-0.12
Bruce Bowen-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.060.02-0.070.01650%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.02425%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Damon Stoudamire-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.030.011137%-0.071-0.03250%-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.180.180.060.11-0.00961%0.1800.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.08-0.020.02965%0.0400.002100%0.01
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.010.010.010.020.021347%0.0100.001050%-0.07
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021052%0.0100.00367%-0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.000100%0.052-0.062100%0.02
Yi Jianlian0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.03920%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.090.00440%-0.1000.002100%0.02
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.050.00933%0.152-0.2700%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25-0.25-0.08-0.20-0.031950%-0.056-0.201275%-0.22
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.030.215.731.22.438.6145.0
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.1%
SAS +14.0%
MIL -4.5%
SAS +9.8%
SAS +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMILNBASASMILNBA
this game15.115.215.4102.197.9105.7
season16.515.8104.7103.4
opponent15.215.3110.7100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.417.615.414.415.1
MIL14.815.117.313.815.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley56590.66-0.160.820.467-51214.216.5-2.3014.216.7-2.47
Tony Parker68700.57-0.070.650.348-61414.915.7-0.7815.913.32.58
Manu Ginobili67690.490.010.480.326-41014.816.0-1.2814.816.2-1.39
Bruce Bowen60600.370.130.240.225-3815.115.10.0616.013.72.30
Fabricio Oberto40430.340.160.180.0510-81814.615.5-0.9215.415.00.33
Tim Duncan64640.290.210.070.34-24-615.414.50.9216.013.52.53
Ime Udoka36360.120.38-0.250.18-24-615.714.80.8714.915.3-0.39
Damon Stoudamire35340.100.40-0.310.18-35-815.414.90.4814.115.8-1.61
Jacque Vaughn02-0.010.51-0.530.04-24-60.015.1-15.131.515.5-13.98
Robert Horry2725-0.200.70-0.890.01-79-1616.614.52.0615.315.10.18
Kurt Thomas1718-0.230.73-0.960.06-1012-2216.514.81.6414.615.3-0.78

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yi Jianlian10100.08-0.580.66-0.013-5818.414.83.5918.014.83.21
Mo Williams44440.04-0.540.590.07-1-1015.215.2-0.0515.215.10.06
Charlie Villanueva47480.01-0.510.51-0.021-3415.714.70.9214.715.6-0.94
Dan Gadzuric1616-0.08-0.420.34-0.05-1-1012.415.7-3.3815.615.00.60
Bobby Simmons5755-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.484-61013.917.1-3.2315.714.31.45
Desmond Mason4544-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.01-1210-2216.813.82.9914.415.8-1.39
Michael Redd7877-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.37-1-1015.812.63.1715.015.8-0.85
Andrew Bogut8078-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.39-1-1015.712.43.3815.015.6-0.60
Charlie Bell7168-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.521-3414.417.5-3.1015.414.31.08
Royal Ivey3230-0.520.02-0.54-0.43-31-414.015.8-1.8314.615.4-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.56,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.43,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 106, ORL 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.15,092.0%
PHX 101, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.15,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.27,0.1,0.17,0.25,0.15,091.9%
SAS 114, PHX 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.08,091.2%