NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	5.2 [747]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +10.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	93		Comeback	1.0 [1011]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (SEA): -12.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	11	67%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Carlos Boozer	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.03	17	55%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Ronnie Price	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	77%	0.08	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.04
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	17	53%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	6	44%	-0.06	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	17	47%	0.05	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	27.6	15.6	27.4	2.4	32.5	129.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +13.6%

UTA +12.1%

UTA +8.8%

UTA +5.9%

UTA +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	15.4	114.3	94.9	105.7
season	15.5	14.5		111.2	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.0		107.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.7	14.8	15.2	14.2	15.2
SEA	14.6	14.0	12.5	15.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	36	37	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	4	11	14.8	15.5	-0.72	15.5	13.3	2.19
Ronnie Price	26	26	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	9	1	15.1	15.3	-0.21	14.8	13.9	0.89
Matt Harpring	42	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	16	-13	15.2	15.3	-0.12	15.1	13.4	1.71
Mehmet Okur	79	78	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	3	13	15.5	14.3	1.14	14.7	12.1	2.52
Ronnie Brewer	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	12	-5	15.7	14.7	0.97	13.3	15.2	-1.89
Carlos Boozer	79	78	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	12	-5	15.3	15.1	0.23	13.3	17.6	-4.33
Kyle Korver	44	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	7	5	14.8	15.6	-0.80	15.8	12.9	2.82
Andrei Kirilenko	56	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.30	16	3	13	15.3	15.2	0.12	13.4	15.1	-1.71
Deron Williams	72	72	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.14	9	10	-1	15.3	15.1	0.21	13.9	14.8	-0.89
Jarron Collins	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	13.0	15.3	-2.28	7.0	14.4	-7.38
CJ Miles	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	13.0	15.3	-2.28	7.0	14.4	-7.38

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	60	59	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.19	-11	-8	-3	13.9	14.6	-0.70	16.0	14.1	1.84
Damien Wilkins	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.19	-12	-7	-5	14.8	13.5	1.28	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Chris Wilcox	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-10	1	13.6	15.4	-1.85	16.0	13.6	2.42
Earl Watson	63	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-7	-5	13.8	14.8	-1.05	15.4	14.9	0.55
Wally Szczerbiak	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-13	7	14.4	14.0	0.33	15.5	15.1	0.33
Johan Petro	29	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-12	5	15.2	13.7	1.50	13.7	15.9	-2.21
Jeff Green	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-11	3	13.8	14.4	-0.68	16.5	14.3	2.20
Luke Ridnour	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-12	5	14.8	13.8	1.05	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Kevin Durant	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-7	-5	13.8	15.0	-1.15	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Nick Collison	40	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-8	-3	14.8	13.7	1.05	14.0	16.1	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.32,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, PHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
ATL 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DAL 110, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%