NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	121		Excitement	5.3 [724]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +49.3%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	1.1 [312]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -11.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.49	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.35	0.16	0.03	28	77%	0.51	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Farmar	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	10	65%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.23	0.03	0.09	10	96%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
DJ Mbenga	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Coby Karl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	14	39%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	12	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.01	0.06	18	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	11	48%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	22	41%	-0.08	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	2.5	27.6	15.8	25.3	2.6	28.5	122.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +51.0%

LAL +0.8%

TOR -6.7%

LAL +5.8%

TOR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	16.2	15.4	136.0	114.8	105.7
season	14.6	15.6		110.6	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	15.9	15.6	19.2	16.3
TOR	17.2	16.1	16.4	15.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	45	43	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.10	21	-1	22	18.3	14.3	3.95	16.1	16.3	-0.22
Kobe Bryant	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	1	18	16.2	17.5	-1.27	16.1	18.0	-1.90
Jordan Farmar	41	40	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	3	14	19.0	14.0	5.07	16.0	16.4	-0.33
Vladimir Radmanovic	73	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	12	-4	16.1	17.1	-0.99	16.8	13.0	3.84
Ronny Turiaf	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	5	10	15.6	18.8	-3.21	16.0	17.0	-1.00
DJ Mbenga	19	19	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	14	-8	18.8	15.6	3.21	16.7	16.1	0.58
Lamar Odom	66	65	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.14	8	12	-4	15.5	18.7	-3.21	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Derek Fisher	48	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	17	-14	14.0	19.0	-5.07	16.4	16.0	0.33
Coby Karl	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	17	-14	5.0	16.4	-11.44	7.0	16.3	-9.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	43	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-19	18	15.7	16.8	-1.08	17.1	15.6	1.49
Anthony Parker	62	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	-11	2	15.6	17.7	-2.08	15.8	17.6	-1.84
Rasho Nesterovic	17	17	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	0.00	-7	-13	6	16.9	16.1	0.81	18.2	15.9	2.37
Juan Dixon	18	16	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	-11	2	18.3	15.7	2.65	19.8	15.5	4.26
Andrea Bargnani	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-10	0	16.0	17.4	-1.36	16.1	17.6	-1.52
Jamario Moon	33	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-6	-8	18.4	14.9	3.47	14.2	17.5	-3.22
Jason Kapono	38	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-4	-12	16.0	16.4	-0.45	18.1	15.0	3.03
Chris Bosh	80	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	-4	-12	16.0	18.6	-2.64	16.0	19.6	-3.64
Jose Calderon	74	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	-2	-16	16.0	17.3	-1.26	15.7	20.1	-4.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.1%
DAL 101, UTA 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.04,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.1%
CHA 90, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.9%