NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	2.8 [1210]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +14.9%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	1.2 [940]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -8.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	12	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	0.00	0.10	15	72%	0.06	3	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	21%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	13	23%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	17	35%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	12	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.23	0.00	0.08	23	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	58%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	11	39%	0.01	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	29%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	9	47%	0.02	5	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	33.1	15.4	24.5	2.6	32.2	137.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.4%

ATL +6.4%

ATL +7.9%

CHI -3.5%

ATL +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.4	90.3	114.1	105.7
season	15.0	15.4		102.2	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.7	13.4	16.3	15.3	15.8
ATL	14.0	12.7	15.7	19.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	17.2	15.7	1.50	22.0	15.0	7.03
Viktor Khryapa	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	17.2	15.7	1.50	22.0	15.0	7.03
Tyrus Thomas	18	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	-14	7	19.3	14.9	4.40	16.7	15.1	1.62
Chris Duhon	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-13	5	15.9	15.7	0.26	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Thabo Sefolosha	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.11	-11	-10	-1	15.7	15.8	-0.08	17.1	13.5	3.55
Andres Nocioni	44	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-6	-9	15.5	16.0	-0.45	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Ben Gordon	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-9	-3	15.9	15.7	0.17	16.0	14.4	1.53
Kirk Hinrich	63	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-7	-7	15.0	17.4	-2.33	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Ben Wallace	69	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-12	3	14.8	18.5	-3.72	14.2	18.5	-4.30
Luol Deng	57	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-8	-5	15.6	16.1	-0.53	16.0	14.4	1.58
Joe Smith	66	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-9	-3	16.5	13.9	2.62	14.6	17.1	-2.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	83	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	3	15	14.9	19.1	-4.17	15.5	18.0	-2.45
Anthony Johnson	53	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.35	26	-5	31	13.0	18.5	-5.45	16.2	15.2	1.09
Josh Smith	51	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	1	19	12.8	18.5	-5.66	16.7	14.5	2.15
Marvin Williams	72	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	15	-9	15.5	14.9	0.57	16.1	15.0	1.10
Al Horford	41	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	8	5	13.5	16.8	-3.27	16.1	15.5	0.53
Josh Childress	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	12	-3	16.8	12.6	4.18	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Tyronn Lue	19	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.24	13	8	5	16.7	15.0	1.68	17.0	15.4	1.61
Solomon Jones	34	33	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	19	-17	17.9	13.8	4.07	14.8	16.3	-1.45
Acie Law	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	26	-31	18.5	13.0	5.45	15.2	16.2	-1.09
Mario West	8	8	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.06	3	18	-15	18.9	15.0	3.86	12.5	16.1	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 114, BKN 131	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
PHX 99, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	96.9%