NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	115		Excitement	7.1 [365]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +34.1%
Utah Jazz	119		Comeback	1.3 [815]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -14.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.08	0.06	13	58%	0.16	0	0.00	24	71%	-0.09
Rashard Lewis	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	20	57%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Keith Bogans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.00	10	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jameer Nelson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.02	6	83%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.06	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.03
Keyon Dooling	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	0.05	11	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.22	0.16	0.04	15	81%	0.37	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	6	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	2	83%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	92%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	7	89%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.03	5	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	15	43%	0.04	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	15	47%	0.01	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	29.8	14.8	27.0	1.8	46.2	149.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.3%

UTA +18.4%

ORL -1.4%

ORL -5.3%

ORL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	15.4	116.2	120.2	105.7
season	15.1	15.5		109.9	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.6		105.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.0	18.2	13.4	12.9	15.2
UTA	13.5	13.9	15.4	12.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	38	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-12	20	14.6	15.6	-0.98	12.7	14.6	-1.87
Keith Bogans	32	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-10	16	15.2	15.2	0.01	12.5	14.5	-2.02
Adonal Foyle	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.10	-6	2	-8	20.5	14.4	6.17	15.6	13.7	1.96
Brian Cook	27	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-3	2	17.9	14.2	3.67	14.7	13.6	1.03
JJ Redick	22	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-4	4	15.5	15.1	0.35	9.5	15.2	-5.67
Hedo Turkoglu	60	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	3	-10	14.5	16.2	-1.69	15.2	11.8	3.44
Rashard Lewis	86	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-5	6	14.9	16.9	-2.00	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Dwight Howard	86	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-4	4	14.4	20.5	-6.17	13.5	16.8	-3.33
Maurice Evans	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	7	-18	15.0	15.7	-0.77	15.0	11.3	3.63
Jameer Nelson	61	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	6	-16	15.6	14.6	0.98	14.4	13.1	1.32

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	72	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-4	12	13.3	15.6	-2.37	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Mehmet Okur	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	-6	16	15.3	12.0	3.36	15.6	14.6	1.02
Deron Williams	81	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	4	-4	13.6	15.2	-1.54	14.6	17.6	-3.03
Carlos Boozer	73	73	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	3	-2	14.3	12.7	1.65	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Kyle Korver	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	6	-8	13.7	14.1	-0.40	14.3	15.9	-1.51
Ronnie Brewer	54	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-2	8	14.1	13.7	0.40	15.9	14.3	1.51
Jason Hart	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	0	4	15.2	13.6	1.54	17.6	14.6	3.03
Paul Millsap	42	43	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	7	-10	12.1	15.2	-3.11	15.7	14.7	0.99
Jarron Collins	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	4	-4	14.0	13.9	0.06	14.1	15.5	-1.37
Matt Harpring	30	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	8	-12	14.2	13.8	0.37	14.9	15.3	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.7%
NYK 93, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.95,0.99,1	93.5%
PHX 89, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.99,0.98,1	93.2%