NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	2.6 [1239]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +15.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	101		Comeback	1.0 [1079]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -11.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.16	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.26	0.00	0.10	11	113%	0.19	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.00	-0.10	22	45%	0.07	3	-0.01	11	73%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	81%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	13	38%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	16	58%	0.03	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	14	50%	-0.02	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	15	37%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	0.02	15	44%	-0.05	5	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	29.4	16.8	22.1	1.8	27.3	124.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.6%

LAL +2.8%

LAL +1.7%

LAL +7.2%

LAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.4	14.5	15.4	113.6	98.1	105.7
season	14.6	14.9		110.6	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		109.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.4	13.9	15.6	13.1	13.4
MEM	15.3	14.3	14.4	14.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	88	87	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.04	13	3	10	13.6	12.3	1.29	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Andrew Bynum	62	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.08	17	-1	18	13.6	13.2	0.44	14.7	14.3	0.32
Lamar Odom	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-3	22	13.7	12.7	0.94	14.6	14.4	0.11
Luke Walton	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	10	-4	14.3	12.3	1.95	14.4	14.7	-0.35
Jordan Farmar	42	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	5	6	12.1	14.3	-2.19	14.7	14.4	0.35
Derek Fisher	61	60	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	11	-6	14.3	12.1	2.19	14.2	15.0	-0.86
Trevor Ariza	49	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	8	0	12.7	14.1	-1.38	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Kwame Brown	41	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	17	-18	13.2	13.6	-0.44	14.6	14.5	0.18
Ronny Turiaf	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.18	-3	19	-22	12.7	13.7	-0.94	14.4	14.6	-0.11
Javaris Crittenton	10	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	11	-6	10.4	13.8	-3.36	18.1	14.1	3.99

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	49	48	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.28	11	-27	38	12.7	16.2	-3.57	14.4	12.6	1.72
Andre Brown	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	20.7	14.3	6.33	9.7	13.5	-3.88
Juan Carlos Navarro	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-8	0	16.0	14.0	2.00	11.9	14.0	-2.15
Kyle Lowry	23	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-5	-6	15.2	14.3	0.84	11.0	14.1	-3.16
Darko Milicic	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-8	0	14.3	14.8	-0.43	14.2	12.5	1.61
Mike Conley	80	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-11	6	14.3	15.2	-0.84	14.1	11.0	3.16
Mike Miller	90	91	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-11	6	14.2	16.8	-2.57	13.8	10.5	3.32
Stromile Swift	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	1	-18	15.8	14.0	1.75	11.4	14.3	-2.83
Pau Gasol	70	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	2	-20	15.5	12.5	2.91	13.1	14.2	-1.13
Rudy Gay	86	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	2	-20	14.2	16.2	-2.05	13.7	12.4	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 117, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ATL 106, NJN 70	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
LAC 119, BOS 106	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.7%