NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	116		Excitement	5.0 [804]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (NOH): +16.5%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.3 [496]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -9.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.04	11	79%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.01	15	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	20	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
David West	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	14	61%	0.11	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Marcus Vinicius	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.06	12	62%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.03	11	87%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	12	86%	0.15	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	19	54%	0.10	3	-0.09	10	50%	-0.05
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	15	34%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	30.4	16.0	28.3	2.4	32.4	136.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +14.4%

NOH +4.2%

NOH +11.9%

NOH +8.0%

NOH +11.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	18.2	12.6	15.4	123.4	111.8	105.7
season	15.9	13.5		109.6	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.7		107.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.0	18.3	16.4	22.7	18.2
GSW	13.5	11.7	13.4	11.6	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	70	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-6	24	18.1	18.5	-0.47	12.3	13.3	-0.96
Tyson Chandler	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-6	24	18.1	18.9	-0.78	12.8	10.9	1.93
David West	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-2	16	16.6	22.3	-5.71	13.1	11.2	1.91
Morris Peterson	62	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-2	16	17.9	18.8	-0.99	12.4	12.8	-0.37
Peja Stojakovic	79	79	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	3	6	18.2	18.2	-0.01	12.9	10.8	2.11
Ryan Bowen	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	10	-8	22.3	16.1	6.25	11.9	13.0	-1.08
Bobby Jackson	33	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	12	-12	18.6	18.0	0.64	13.1	12.3	0.89
Marcus Vinicius	15	14	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	9	-6	18.2	18.2	0.01	10.8	12.9	-2.11
Hilton Armstrong	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	15.5	18.3	-2.81	6.0	12.8	-6.80
Jannero Pargo	28	28	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.25	-14	26	-40	18.7	18.0	0.69	12.2	12.7	-0.52

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	38	40	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.30	16	-28	44	11.9	13.0	-1.12	17.8	18.4	-0.59
Matt Barnes	47	48	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.14	8	-20	28	11.6	13.6	-1.95	18.7	17.6	1.14
Marco Belinelli	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	6.0	12.8	-6.80	15.5	18.3	-2.81
Patrick O'Bryant	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	6.0	12.9	-6.88	16.0	18.3	-2.31
Kelenna Azubuike	20	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-12	12	12.4	12.6	-0.17	17.4	18.4	-0.99
Brandan Wright	16	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-12	12	11.5	12.8	-1.31	14.2	19.0	-4.75
Al Harrington	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-2	-8	12.6	12.5	0.15	19.3	16.1	3.13
Baron Davis	89	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	6	-24	12.9	6.0	6.88	18.3	16.0	2.31
Monta Ellis	45	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.15	-23	11	-34	12.6	12.5	0.12	19.2	17.2	1.97
Stephen Jackson	81	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.07	-23	11	-34	13.2	8.7	4.49	18.0	19.1	-1.03
Andris Biedrins	60	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.06	-20	8	-28	13.5	10.8	2.68	17.8	19.0	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
GSW 109, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0	94.4%
CHI 115, BKN 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	94.4%