inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 101 Excitement5.9 [611] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +25.2%
Utah Jazz 111 Comeback2.6 [792] LVPJarrett Jack (POR): -12.2%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.220.050.011775%0.322-0.071486%0.05
James Jones0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.03579%0.1100.00978%-0.01
Channing Frye0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00757%0.0200.0000%0.00
Martell Webster-0.000,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.01357%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Steve Blake-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.03-0.03736%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Roy-0.050,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.011353%0.114-0.15683%0.03
Travis Outlaw-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.03-0.030.02655%-0.013-0.08837%-0.04
Jarrett Jack-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.00533%-0.062-0.065100%0.04

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.060.00874%0.182-0.05367%-0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.050.02761%0.0900.004100%0.02
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.07-0.01-0.01871%0.142-0.065100%0.03
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.001559%0.101-0.03250%-0.02
Deron Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.000.03-0.031358%0.164-0.11560%0.01
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.09-0.030.021070%0.0400.0000%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00658%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00433%-0.0400.00450%-0.03
Mehmet Okur0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.00833%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.429.114.836.22.534.4144.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +23.6%
POR -8.5%
UTA +16.4%
UTA +16.0%
UTA +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORUTANBAPORUTANBA
this game15.715.615.4108.6122.0105.7
season16.715.5105.5111.2
opponent15.015.4105.0106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR16.415.814.716.015.7
UTA14.820.214.114.015.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Martell Webster50470.06-0.560.63-0.054-141816.115.30.8414.117.2-3.08
Sergio Rodriguez13120.02-0.520.53-0.011-111213.616.0-2.4321.714.77.09
Joel Przybilla2930-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-3-7417.115.12.0815.215.8-0.59
Brandon Roy6463-0.18-0.320.13-0.10-3-7416.414.22.1815.017.0-1.98
Channing Frye4240-0.21-0.290.08-0.18-1-9815.016.3-1.3816.914.52.38
Steve Blake6360-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-9815.915.20.7014.817.2-2.43
LaMarcus Aldridge7370-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.20-4-6216.512.93.5215.017.5-2.51
Travis Outlaw4040-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.10-9-1-814.316.8-2.4716.315.11.22
James Jones4748-0.570.07-0.63-0.13-155-2014.816.6-1.7816.115.01.17
Jarrett Jack4445-0.600.10-0.71-0.05-199-2815.316.1-0.7416.215.01.29

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap69690.66-0.160.810.1318-82615.715.40.2415.117.3-2.19
Deron Williams67650.390.110.280.2746-214.718.1-3.3816.214.61.63
Carlos Boozer62640.330.170.150.1855013.919.1-5.2015.915.30.58
Kyle Korver34340.300.200.110.0782615.115.9-0.8116.115.50.55
Matt Harpring31330.300.200.100.0391817.114.82.2814.416.4-2.04
CJ Miles22240.220.28-0.07-0.0282617.415.02.3314.316.2-1.86
Andrei Kirilenko60600.200.30-0.100.1719-814.817.1-2.2816.414.42.04
Jason Hart24280.110.39-0.28-0.0764218.114.73.3814.616.2-1.63
Jarron Collins15160.060.44-0.380.06010-1016.715.41.2914.116.0-1.91
Ronnie Brewer3535-0.020.52-0.540.16-616-2215.016.0-1.0116.315.30.97
Mehmet Okur3637-0.050.55-0.590.04-313-1617.914.13.8017.114.82.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 74, MIN 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,193.7%
CHI 88, ORL 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,193.4%
UTA 94, MEM 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,193.2%