inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 101 Excitement2.4 [1263] MVPJarvis Hayes (DET): +13.7%
Detroit Pistons 114 Comeback1.3 [1127] LVPMike Dunleavy (IND): -6.2%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.100.000.06786%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.120.000.101366%0.031-0.021275%-0.01
Travis Diener0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.120.000.125110%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kareem Rush-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.001145%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Andre Owens-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.06714%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Danny Granger-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00944%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ike Diogu-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.041032%-0.0300.00862%-0.01
Jeff Foster-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shawne Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.000.05750%-0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.00367%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Marquis Daniels-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.00-0.05320%-0.023-0.03450%-0.02
Mike Dunleavy-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.010.074112%0.024-0.0800%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.010.026108%0.1400.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.031452%0.061-0.001100%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.130.000.081768%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01764%0.073-0.048100%0.03
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.01467%0.011-0.00425%-0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.00-0.04839%0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Walter Herrmann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04633%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00844%-0.0100.0020%-0.01
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01562%0.003-0.026100%-0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.011238%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.82.430.316.523.62.531.4132.4
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +23.7%
DET +8.7%
DET +0.3%
DET +15.8%
DET +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDDETNBAINDDETNBA
this game12.916.815.4105.2116.3105.7
season13.816.8104.5108.8
opponent15.815.2101.3105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.112.013.511.512.9
DET16.214.720.816.216.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Diener1515-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-212911.313.2-1.9215.017.1-2.08
Andre Owens3837-0.05-0.450.39-0.236-192512.313.3-0.9918.415.82.63
Shawne Williams3030-0.09-0.410.32-0.245-182311.513.5-1.9716.017.1-1.05
Danny Granger4648-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-11913.012.80.2217.316.31.03
Troy Murphy3841-0.16-0.340.19-0.04-4-9514.112.12.0218.315.72.58
Jeff Foster3432-0.16-0.340.180.10-9-4-512.113.3-1.2316.916.70.16
Marquis Daniels2930-0.17-0.330.15-0.03-5-8312.713.0-0.2815.017.6-2.59
Mike Dunleavy4748-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-130-1314.411.43.0618.015.52.50
Jamaal Tinsley3537-0.32-0.18-0.140.15-163-1913.612.51.1715.717.4-1.71
Ike Diogu4646-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.15-6-7112.513.3-0.7815.817.6-1.81
Jermaine O'Neal5962-0.36-0.14-0.210.08-152-1713.312.21.0416.916.60.24
Kareem Rush6364-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.00-141-1512.314.0-1.6516.317.7-1.44

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups66630.430.070.35-0.1319-62517.515.32.2013.412.01.40
Jason Maxiell39390.390.110.27-0.2020-72717.016.60.3512.613.1-0.45
Antonio McDyess58570.380.120.27-0.0615-21716.616.9-0.3113.811.62.14
Richard Hamilton56560.350.150.20-0.1517-42117.615.71.9214.111.22.85
Jarvis Hayes27270.340.160.19-0.1818-52314.717.5-2.8512.013.2-1.28
Rasheed Wallace54520.200.30-0.09-0.0385318.115.12.9613.911.72.26
Rodney Stuckey40400.180.32-0.140.24-215-1715.317.7-2.3912.513.1-0.62
Tayshaun Prince50480.150.35-0.190.0449-518.115.32.8114.311.52.85
Arron Afflalo34330.040.46-0.420.28-821-2915.717.3-1.6710.414.2-3.80
Primoz Brezec19180.020.48-0.460.23-720-2713.717.5-3.769.713.6-3.89
Amir Johnson26260.010.49-0.490.30-1023-3316.217.0-0.7811.513.4-1.90
Walter Herrmann21210.000.50-0.490.27-922-3116.116.9-0.7910.813.5-2.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 80, MEM 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
LAL 86, DAL 1220.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
WAS 78, DET 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%