NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	6.9 [399]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +13.1%
Dallas Mavericks	81		Comeback	1.6 [256]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -11.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.00	0.12	-0.01	16	49%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	8	42%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	47%	0.08	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	21	46%	0.06	3	-0.09	10	50%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	15	49%	0.05	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	18	50%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.04
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	17	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	41%	0.02	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	12	39%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.5	38.2	19.4	27.0	3.5	30.3	150.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +28.9%

DAL -2.3%

CLE +18.5%

CLE +2.3%

CLE +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.4	91.7	84.4	105.7
season	16.4	16.1		104.0	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		105.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	15.7	16.0	17.2	15.7
DAL	15.6	15.0	13.4	13.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	66	66	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.26	14	-7	21	16.0	15.0	0.92	14.6	13.7	0.92
Drew Gooden	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	16.2	14.2	2.00	14.4	14.1	0.27
LeBron James	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	15.9	15.0	0.94	14.3	14.3	0.02
Larry Hughes	66	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	15.8	15.5	0.29	14.3	14.3	0.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	7	-7	15.5	15.9	-0.40	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Ira Newble	15	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	5	-3	14.5	15.9	-1.42	14.6	14.3	0.36
Anderson Varejao	44	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	4	-1	15.4	15.9	-0.56	14.7	14.0	0.69
Devin Brown	41	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	7	-7	15.3	15.9	-0.65	14.6	14.1	0.50
Sasha Pavlovic	43	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	10	-13	15.0	16.2	-1.12	13.6	15.0	-1.34

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	47	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-12	17	14.2	14.5	-0.32	15.8	15.6	0.18
Eddie Jones	39	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-6	5	14.7	14.1	0.65	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Devean George	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	17.5	13.9	3.63	14.4	15.8	-1.43
DeSagana Diop	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	13.8	14.4	-0.61	17.2	15.5	1.73
Juwan Howard	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-1	-5	16.7	14.0	2.70	14.4	15.8	-1.47
Devin Harris	66	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-5	3	14.1	14.9	-0.78	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Jason Terry	55	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-5	3	13.5	15.4	-1.93	16.1	15.1	1.04
Brandon Bass	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	14.0	14.6	-0.61	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Dirk Nowitzki	77	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	14.5	13.5	1.01	15.9	14.5	1.38
Josh Howard	69	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	14.6	13.6	1.08	16.2	14.4	1.75
Jerry Stackhouse	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	2	-11	13.9	14.9	-1.06	16.3	14.8	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.08,0	93.6%
GSW 85, TOR 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.1%
BOS 118, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.36,0.32,0.1,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.22,0.03,0,0	93.0%