inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 116 Excitement4.3 [936] MVPChris Paul (NOH): +29.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 98 Comeback1.8 [658] LVPDamon Stoudamire (MEM): -11.1%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.290,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.310.040.062578%0.321-0.031100%0.00
Peja Stojakovic0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.000.041468%0.102-0.04367%-0.01
David West0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.010.031371%0.114-0.072100%0.00
Tyson Chandler0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.04775%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Bobby Jackson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.03750%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Hilton Armstrong0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.000.04664%0.0100.00250%0.00
Rasual Butler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.01-0.02736%0.0100.0000%0.00
Julian Wright0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Vinicius0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0150%-0.0800.0000%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.000.03883%0.073-0.042100%0.01
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.030.021150%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.011659%0.073-0.0600%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.02-0.03250%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.010.01850%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Casey Jacobsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.05-0.00-0.05657%0.054-0.052100%0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.000.05953%-0.0100.001100%-0.00
Jeremy Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.020.041459%0.023-0.064100%0.02
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.030.04425%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.12.528.415.723.22.525.4117.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +41.2%
MEM -3.4%
NOH +0.7%
NOH +13.0%
MEM -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHMEMNBANOHMEMNBA
this game16.214.815.4126.1104.3105.7
season15.914.9109.6103.3
opponent14.915.7109.9104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH15.015.017.717.016.2
MEM13.816.915.813.014.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West71710.54-0.040.58-0.0219-12016.016.7-0.6514.615.3-0.70
Tyson Chandler80800.400.100.310.02135816.216.2-0.0014.417.4-3.07
Chris Paul70700.400.100.30-0.071621416.216.00.2115.213.71.49
Peja Stojakovic70690.380.120.260.09108216.116.3-0.1414.814.8-0.03
Morris Peterson38380.240.26-0.030.06612-615.716.5-0.8614.914.70.17
Bobby Jackson41430.230.28-0.050.05612-616.416.00.4115.114.60.55
Rasual Butler27290.150.35-0.21-0.06711-416.616.00.6114.115.1-1.04
Jannero Pargo32340.140.36-0.22-0.10810-215.816.4-0.5914.115.2-1.10
Hilton Armstrong12140.100.40-0.31-0.05513-816.216.20.0017.414.43.07
Marcus Vinicius450.000.50-0.50-0.06216-1419.216.03.2314.214.9-0.65
Julian Wright1517-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-220-2216.716.10.6015.814.61.23

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Casey Jacobsen540.00-0.500.500.06-2-161414.214.9-0.6519.216.03.23
Andre Brown540.00-0.500.500.06-2-161414.214.9-0.6519.216.03.23
Juan Carlos Navarro3333-0.11-0.390.270.06-6-12613.815.3-1.5015.816.4-0.54
Jeremy Richardson97-0.13-0.370.240.13-9-9016.914.62.2915.316.2-0.95
Darko Milicic2724-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-12614.914.80.1016.416.10.29
Kyle Lowry6461-0.17-0.330.160.21-13-5-814.515.5-1.0016.315.90.39
Hakim Warrick3939-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-7-11416.213.82.3716.216.10.07
Stromile Swift3736-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.07-6-12614.315.2-0.9115.816.4-0.63
Damon Stoudamire3031-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-5-13815.514.51.0015.916.3-0.39
Pau Gasol6768-0.35-0.15-0.190.01-12-6-614.814.9-0.1016.116.4-0.29
Mike Miller7373-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-11-7-414.814.9-0.1116.116.3-0.13
Rudy Gay8180-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.09-11-7-414.715.8-1.1016.215.60.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 116, IND 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
LAC 100, MIN 850.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.0%
PHX 114, CHA 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.37,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%