NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	84		Excitement	8.7 [137]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +23.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	3.0 [457]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -21.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	13	55%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Kevin Martin	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,0.2,0.11	0.03	0.09	0.01	14	64%	0.26	4	-0.16	5	80%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	13	42%	-0.01	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.21	0.04	-0.24	0.01	11	61%	0.10	2	-0.31	6	67%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.01	9	72%	0.25	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.05	0.04	15	74%	0.27	2	-0.07	8	50%	-0.06
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.2	0.20	-0.02	0.23	0.00	6	43%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.18	-0.01	15	41%	0.16	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	27%	-0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	5	44%	-0.07	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.01	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.6	33.1	15.4	24.9	2.8	39.0	140.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -4.2%

POR +30.1%

SAC -0.8%

POR +43.6%

SAC -18.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.4	91.3	98.9	105.7
season	14.9	16.7		105.6	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		106.1	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.0	15.4	16.5	16.0	16.0
POR	16.0	17.4	14.1	16.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	43	43	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.06	2	-5	7	16.2	15.8	0.41	16.0	16.1	-0.11
Kenny Thomas	25	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.02	2	-5	7	18.4	15.1	3.37	18.0	15.1	2.97
Francisco Garcia	41	40	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.18	7	-10	17	15.1	16.7	-1.65	17.0	15.2	1.77
Spencer Hawes	5	5	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	20.2	15.7	4.45	13.2	16.2	-2.98
Quincy Douby	9	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	0	-3	17.3	15.8	1.49	17.5	15.8	1.68
Metta World Peace	74	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	15.8	16.8	-1.05	15.8	16.6	-0.83
Beno Udrih	65	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	1	-5	16.4	15.1	1.24	15.6	17.0	-1.38
Brad Miller	81	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.8	17.6	-1.87	15.5	19.1	-3.56
Kevin Martin	76	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	-1	-1	15.3	19.2	-3.87	15.6	17.8	-2.22
John Salmons	41	37	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.35	-12	9	-21	15.9	16.1	-0.24	16.4	15.8	0.59

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	78	81	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-6	15	16.1	15.5	0.58	16.1	15.4	0.71
Steve Blake	52	55	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.66	0	3	-3	14.8	17.7	-2.94	14.4	18.4	-4.00
Brandon Roy	65	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-3	9	15.7	17.0	-1.34	15.9	16.3	-0.37
Travis Outlaw	49	53	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-2	7	16.8	15.1	1.68	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Jarrett Jack	49	53	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-4	11	17.3	14.3	3.01	16.4	15.4	0.96
Channing Frye	32	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	5	-7	14.3	17.0	-2.62	16.0	16.0	-0.03
Martell Webster	65	66	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	7	-11	15.2	18.3	-3.10	16.0	16.0	-0.07
Joel Przybilla	22	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	7	-11	16.8	15.8	1.02	17.1	15.6	1.46
Sergio Rodriguez	28	28	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.17	-2	5	-7	18.4	14.9	3.55	18.1	15.1	3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.46,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 96, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.72,1	90.1%
CHI 91, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	89.9%
DEN 86, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.61,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.42,1	89.2%