inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 107 Excitement8.3 [185] MVPDanny Granger (IND): +17.8%
Indiana Pacers 111 Comeback1.2 [322] LVPBrandon Bass (DAL): -17.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trenton Hassell0.080,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01683%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.050.020.02-0.01367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.002100%0.01
DeSagana Diop0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.01343%0.0200.001100%0.01
Devin Harris0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.02,0.020.07-0.050.001360%0.062-0.041493%0.03
Dirk Nowitzki-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.07-0.021456%0.062-0.078100%0.04
Juwan Howard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Maurice Ager-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.0140%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.050.001338%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Josh Howard-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14-0.03-0.100.011553%-0.014-0.13683%0.01
Brandon Bass-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18-0.05-0.120.001048%-0.053-0.13771%-0.04

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.160.040.031171%0.1800.001385%0.04
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.050.06-0.000.00662%0.0500.00450%-0.03
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.08-0.020.021165%0.121-0.074100%0.02
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00536%-0.0100.00475%0.03
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01333%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04-0.04-0.110.03-0.042444%0.105-0.15667%-0.01
Jeff Foster0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.07-0.01956%0.032-0.1000%0.00
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.060.011553%-0.012-0.064100%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.21.733.215.726.01.842.2148.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +35.2%
DAL -4.0%
IND +15.8%
DAL -3.9%
IND +6.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALINDNBADALINDNBA
this game15.513.515.4107.0112.1105.7
season16.113.8108.9104.5
opponent15.215.4105.6105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL17.713.618.712.715.5
IND12.313.514.014.013.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeSagana Diop34350.03-0.530.57-0.146-101616.315.01.2213.713.40.28
Jose Juan Barea1112-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-5610.916.0-5.119.814.0-4.14
Maurice Ager1715-0.15-0.350.200.03-62-813.715.8-2.1113.113.5-0.48
Trenton Hassell4039-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-51-617.214.32.9814.213.01.21
Erick Dampier2020-0.16-0.340.170.04-73-1017.714.92.8012.713.7-0.91
Juwan Howard1210-0.19-0.310.120.07-95-1413.915.7-1.7511.813.7-1.86
Dirk Nowitzki8887-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.465-91415.714.01.6613.513.6-0.12
Josh Howard6667-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.413-71015.814.80.9614.511.33.19
Devin Harris7677-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.454-81215.315.8-0.4913.513.5-0.09
Jason Terry7472-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.37-1-3214.418.5-4.1113.114.6-1.49
Brandon Bass6261-0.500.00-0.51-0.18-117-1815.515.40.1513.613.20.39

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Tinsley86870.64-0.140.770.466-2813.314.4-1.0515.416.0-0.62
Troy Murphy73730.410.090.320.207-31014.311.13.2016.911.65.30
Danny Granger77760.390.110.280.3613-213.314.1-0.7915.515.40.11
Jeff Foster89880.390.110.280.42-15-613.315.4-2.1415.018.7-3.74
Marquis Daniels41390.260.240.010.2604-412.913.9-1.0212.817.1-4.33
Mike Dunleavy51530.240.26-0.010.1340414.612.22.4217.113.73.40
Shawne Williams40440.190.31-0.120.045-1611.614.7-3.1014.216.5-2.28
David Harrison20210.110.39-0.270.0813-213.413.5-0.0317.015.11.89
Kareem Rush560.010.49-0.490.03-15-615.613.42.2411.515.7-4.21
Travis Diener1313-0.140.64-0.77-0.08-26-814.413.31.0516.015.40.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.81,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.77,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 92, IND 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.62,0.85,0.84,0.83,193.5%
ORL 85, ATL 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.92,193.5%
CHA 81, OKC 840.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.92,192.4%