NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	83		Excitement	2.8 [1209]		MVP	J.R. Smith (DEN): +8.0%
Denver Nuggets	115		Comeback	1.0 [1281]		LVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): -8.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	63%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	64%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.06	4	71%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	39%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.07	5	60%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	23	34%	-0.06	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	13	66%	0.10	4	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	18	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.10	13	62%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	35%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.08	6	83%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	9	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	28.5	15.5	25.3	2.4	28.2	130.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +33.7%

DEN +2.5%

DEN +3.8%

DEN +9.4%

DEN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	17.4	13.1	15.4	86.5	125.0	105.7
season	15.7	13.3		103.1	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.2		105.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	18.4	17.0	18.0	17.4
DEN	12.1	12.9	12.8	14.8	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	24	25	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.12	-4	-28	24	16.0	17.9	-1.90	13.1	13.1	0.00
Malik Rose	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-28	24	17.2	17.5	-0.21	12.4	13.3	-0.90
Mardy Collins	40	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.23	-12	-20	8	16.2	18.3	-2.02	13.4	12.9	0.48
Nate Robinson	60	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.20	-13	-19	6	17.6	17.2	0.37	12.5	14.3	-1.80
Jared Jeffries	28	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.17	-12	-20	8	17.6	17.4	0.20	13.1	13.1	-0.06
Zach Randolph	63	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.22	-15	-17	2	17.3	17.6	-0.27	13.2	13.1	0.09
Stephon Marbury	31	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.16	-14	-18	4	18.1	17.1	0.94	14.0	12.7	1.26
Quentin Richardson	48	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	-21	10	16.7	18.2	-1.48	12.8	13.5	-0.71
Fred Jones	41	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-15	-2	18.5	16.6	1.94	14.2	12.3	1.84
Eddy Curry	34	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	-16	0	17.1	17.6	-0.52	13.6	12.8	0.76
David Lee	42	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.31	-21	-11	-10	18.9	16.3	2.58	12.8	13.4	-0.61
Jamal Crawford	53	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.22	-21	-11	-10	17.4	17.5	-0.07	12.8	13.5	-0.62

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	68	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.29	25	7	18	13.3	12.6	0.73	16.8	19.1	-2.23
Linas Kleiza	43	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.26	20	12	8	13.5	12.8	0.69	17.4	17.5	-0.07
Marcus Camby	56	59	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.32	21	11	10	12.7	13.7	-0.99	16.6	18.8	-2.21
Carmelo Anthony	57	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	16	0	12.5	14.1	-1.61	17.6	17.1	0.56
Eduardo Najera	38	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	15	2	13.9	12.6	1.32	18.1	16.9	1.20
Kenyon Martin	38	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	21	-10	12.7	13.4	-0.79	16.8	17.9	-1.08
Yakhouba Diawara	46	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.35	19	13	6	12.8	13.5	-0.67	16.8	18.0	-1.19
J.R. Smith	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.21	14	18	-4	13.7	12.7	1.00	18.4	16.6	1.84
Bobby Jones	36	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	21	-10	13.7	12.7	0.99	18.8	16.6	2.21
Mike Wilks	24	25	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.15	7	25	-18	12.6	13.3	-0.73	19.1	16.8	2.23
Von Wafer	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	33	-34	13.1	13.1	-0.03	15.0	17.8	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 71, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
CHI 82, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
POR 86, NOK 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%