NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Excitement	8.9 [124]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +23.5%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	4.2 [272]		LVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): -18.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.14	0.01	15	61%	0.26	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Damon Jones	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.02	0.18	-0.00	8	59%	0.24	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Daniel Gibson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19	0.15	0.06	0.01	14	76%	0.24	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14	0.09	0.07	0.01	16	62%	0.22	2	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	40%	-0.00	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	11	25%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.01	-0.03	18	51%	0.10	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	15	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	28	45%	0.03	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	6	75%	0.08	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.12
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.3	30.1	16.5	24.6	3.4	36.6	140.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +58.1%

CLE +1.9%

GSW -8.1%

GSW -5.4%

CLE +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	13.5	15.4	103.8	102.0	105.7
season	16.4	13.5		104.0	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.2		107.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.7	14.4	13.5	15.5	14.5
GSW	13.6	12.3	13.1	15.1	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	80	80	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.39	20	-16	36	14.9	13.2	1.72	13.7	12.7	0.99
Daniel Gibson	75	74	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.36	19	-15	34	14.0	15.8	-1.81	13.7	12.7	0.98
LeBron James	91	90	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	0	4	14.4	14.9	-0.49	13.1	15.8	-2.69
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	81	80	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	-2	8	14.7	13.8	0.91	13.9	12.0	1.86
Damon Jones	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.40	-10	14	-24	14.4	14.6	-0.23	13.1	13.8	-0.67
Sasha Pavlovic	71	66	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	-1	6	15.1	13.3	1.78	13.4	13.5	-0.06
Dwayne Jones	3	4	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	13	-22	19.7	14.3	5.33	10.5	13.6	-3.08
Ira Newble	8	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.02	-6	10	-16	11.1	14.8	-3.65	11.0	13.7	-2.70
Devin Brown	60	57	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	13	-22	14.0	15.1	-1.08	13.7	13.2	0.47

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick O'Bryant	11	11	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-7	10	11.1	13.7	-2.66	14.0	14.5	-0.55
Matt Barnes	56	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-6	8	14.0	12.8	1.27	14.2	14.9	-0.74
Mickael Pietrus	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	3	-10	13.0	13.8	-0.76	14.8	14.3	0.47
Monta Ellis	71	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.45	9	-13	22	13.5	13.4	0.06	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Brandan Wright	9	8	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	4	-12	13.7	13.4	0.23	11.7	14.7	-2.97
Al Harrington	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	0	-4	13.9	12.2	1.67	15.3	12.2	3.16
Baron Davis	99	101	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	13.3	18.0	-4.68	14.3	21.7	-7.39
Kelenna Azubuike	61	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	2	-8	12.9	14.3	-1.43	14.5	14.5	-0.06
Andris Biedrins	86	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	2	-8	13.7	11.9	1.81	14.6	14.1	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.6,0.76,0.67,0.38,0.55,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.05,0	91.6%
ATL 105, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.15,0.13,0	91.3%
NJN 124, MIL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.61,0.45,0.17,0.02,0	91.0%