NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	69		Excitement	2.1 [1285]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +5.3%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	1.0 [1302]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randolph Morris	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	17%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	16	47%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	8	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Jared Jeffries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	3	12%	-0.00	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Malik Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	52%	-0.00	7	-0.07	5	60%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.06	-0.00	0.16	17	62%	-0.04	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.02	0.05	14	66%	0.07	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	15	47%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	42%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.07	9	72%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.3	24.4	15.4	28.3	2.0	27.3	127.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.8%

CHI +2.2%

NYK -2.2%

CHI +22.7%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	15.4	76.7	106.5	104.5
season	15.7	14.5		103.7	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		98.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	16.7	16.8	18.2	16.8
CHI	15.1	14.7	13.9	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randolph Morris	37	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.12	-5	-24	19	16.8	16.8	-0.04	14.9	14.9	0.01
Malik Rose	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-21	13	16.7	16.9	-0.22	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Jared Jeffries	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.27	-20	-9	-11	16.3	17.7	-1.36	15.1	14.6	0.49
Steve Francis	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-11	-7	16.6	17.1	-0.59	15.0	14.7	0.25
Eddy Curry	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-11	-7	17.1	16.5	0.65	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Channing Frye	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.23	-20	-9	-11	17.3	15.0	2.32	15.2	13.9	1.36
Nate Robinson	73	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.25	-22	-7	-15	17.1	15.6	1.47	15.2	13.7	1.45
Mardy Collins	73	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.51	-34	5	-39	16.4	18.3	-1.87	14.8	15.4	-0.64

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	70	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.31	28	1	27	14.3	16.9	-2.65	16.4	18.0	-1.62
Luol Deng	52	51	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.37	28	1	27	13.4	16.8	-3.33	16.4	17.3	-0.84
P.J. Brown	47	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.36	27	2	25	13.3	16.5	-3.17	16.4	17.2	-0.79
Ben Wallace	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.30	24	5	19	13.7	17.3	-3.67	16.3	17.8	-1.50
Chris Duhon	41	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	19	-9	15.5	14.4	1.12	17.1	16.6	0.48
Kirk Hinrich	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.26	15	14	1	15.1	14.8	0.26	16.5	16.9	-0.37
Thabo Sefolosha	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	24	-19	14.7	15.0	-0.30	17.5	16.2	1.25
Malik Allen	31	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	24	-19	17.3	13.7	3.67	17.8	16.3	1.50
Tyrus Thomas	37	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	25	-21	17.5	13.1	4.34	16.7	16.8	-0.10
Andres Nocioni	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	30	-31	16.0	14.5	1.48	17.9	16.4	1.47
Adrian Griffin	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	28	-27	24.0	14.5	9.52	13.7	16.9	-3.17
Michael Sweetney	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	30	-31	15.4	14.7	0.62	17.8	16.5	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 75, OKC 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
MIN 93, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
PHI 72, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%