NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	96		Excitement	9.3 [116]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +35.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	7.0 [130]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -39.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.08,0.14,0.35	0.12	0.24	0.01	19	71%	0.57	5	-0.21	10	70%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.15	-0.07	0.22	-0.00	8	19%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nene	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	92%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	18	53%	0.11	4	-0.13	7	57%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	7	29%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.2	0.20	0.00	0.20	0.00	16	61%	0.31	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.06	0.00	13	38%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	13	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	16	38%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.4	-0.40	0.01	-0.39	0.02	12	69%	0.06	7	-0.46	11	91%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	29.0	15.5	26.9	2.0	38.6	139.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +55.2%

LAC -1.7%

LAC -28.9%

DEN +30.8%

LAC -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	16.4	15.4	102.1	100.0	104.5
season	14.0	15.7		105.8	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.9	14.6	14.4	14.8	14.4
LAC	15.5	16.0	16.9	17.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	53	54	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.47	12	-9	21	13.1	16.1	-3.05	17.2	15.3	1.90
Linas Kleiza	40	38	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.45	8	-5	13	15.7	13.5	2.22	16.6	16.2	0.37
Carmelo Anthony	82	81	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.42	9	-6	15	14.4	14.8	-0.47	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Marcus Camby	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-1	5	14.5	14.1	0.43	16.4	16.4	-0.05
Allen Iverson	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.52	-6	9	-15	14.4	14.6	-0.14	16.2	17.7	-1.42
Steve Blake	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.21	18	-15	33	13.9	15.8	-1.91	17.3	14.1	3.15
Reggie Evans	5	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	10	-17	14.4	14.4	-0.03	13.3	16.6	-3.26
Eduardo Najera	43	41	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.11	-6	9	-15	15.2	13.7	1.49	15.0	17.5	-2.48
J.R. Smith	21	22	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.01	-17	20	-37	15.4	14.2	1.23	15.7	16.6	-0.92

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	83	83	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.19	2	-5	7	16.7	13.8	2.90	14.9	11.1	3.78
Tim Thomas	19	19	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.03	4	-7	11	14.3	16.9	-2.67	15.4	14.2	1.25
Daniel Ewing	20	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-2	1	15.7	16.6	-0.81	16.0	14.0	1.97
James Singleton	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	22.0	16.1	5.93	12.6	14.5	-1.93
Cuttino Mobley	82	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	1	-5	16.5	15.3	1.26	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Jason Hart	74	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.47	-2	-1	-1	16.4	16.4	0.02	13.8	16.9	-3.05
Elton Brand	74	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.47	-2	-1	-1	16.4	16.4	0.02	13.8	16.9	-3.05
Quinton Ross	38	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.69	5	-8	13	15.7	16.9	-1.19	15.3	13.8	1.48
Corey Maggette	70	74	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	11	-25	16.6	15.8	0.75	14.4	14.4	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.55,0.48,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.78,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.73,0	91.3%
OKC 100, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.74,0	91.3%
SAS 90, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.73,0	91.0%