NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	124		Excitement	1.7 [1307]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +5.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	74		Comeback	1.1 [1097]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -11.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	17	55%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	6	85%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.04	18	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Shane Battier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	8	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Lucas III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.05	7	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	15	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	33%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	55%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	41%	-0.00	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Willie Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	10	27%	-0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	22.8	14.8	26.4	1.7	26.4	118.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.3%

PHI -0.6%

HOU +7.2%

HOU +0.8%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	16.5	15.4	131.9	78.7	104.5
season	15.6	15.5		103.6	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.2	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.4	14.8	15.0	14.4	14.1
PHI	16.9	17.2	17.8	14.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	65	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.58	37	13	24	14.0	14.3	-0.31	17.1	15.2	1.88
Tracy McGrady	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.62	35	15	20	13.8	14.6	-0.78	17.2	15.5	1.67
Yao Ming	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.56	31	19	12	13.9	14.4	-0.49	18.1	14.7	3.38
Shane Battier	49	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.44	27	23	4	14.2	14.0	0.20	18.0	14.9	3.13
Charles Hayes	37	37	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.65	34	16	18	13.9	14.2	-0.30	18.8	15.1	3.70
Luther Head	42	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.19	13	37	-24	14.4	13.9	0.50	15.7	17.2	-1.47
Dikembe Mutombo	28	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.12	9	41	-32	15.0	13.8	1.19	14.6	17.4	-2.78
Juwan Howard	49	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.36	16	34	-18	14.2	14.1	0.07	14.8	18.4	-3.61
Kirk Snyder	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.35	15	35	-20	14.6	13.8	0.78	15.5	17.2	-1.67
John Lucas III	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.38	13	37	-24	14.4	14.0	0.37	14.4	17.3	-2.88
Jake Tsakalidis	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	40	-30	13.3	14.3	-0.95	14.9	16.8	-1.94
Vassilis Spanoulis	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	40	-30	13.3	14.3	-0.95	14.9	16.8	-1.94

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.23	-8	-42	34	14.2	16.9	-2.69	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Bobby Jones	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.38	-13	-37	24	14.1	17.5	-3.42	14.3	14.0	0.29
Rodney Carney	33	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.52	-18	-32	14	15.2	17.2	-2.05	14.3	14.0	0.27
Joe Smith	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.13	-8	-42	34	14.4	17.7	-3.31	14.4	14.0	0.41
Lou Williams	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.53	-22	-28	6	15.6	17.3	-1.70	14.3	13.9	0.39
Kyle Korver	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	-33	16	16.9	16.2	0.70	14.4	13.8	0.63
Samuel Dalembert	46	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.39	-25	-25	0	17.7	15.4	2.28	14.0	14.3	-0.34
Willie Green	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.33	-23	-27	4	17.6	15.4	2.15	14.7	13.6	1.10
Andre Miller	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.43	-28	-22	-6	17.3	15.6	1.70	13.9	14.3	-0.39
Andre Iguodala	55	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.68	-40	-10	-30	17.6	15.0	2.54	13.6	14.8	-1.23
Steven Hunter	74	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.91	-48	-2	-46	16.9	15.0	1.92	13.9	14.9	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 82, CHI 49	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.3%
PHX 104, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
CHI 118, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%