NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	8.3 [223]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +33.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	104		Comeback	1.6 [381]		LVP	Chris Duhon (CHI): -15.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33	0.11	0.22	-0.00	20	72%	0.49	6	-0.16	6	83%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.29	0.05	0.25	0.01	13	52%	0.29	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	47%	0.01	2	-0.07	7	43%	-0.05
Michael Sweetney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.14	0.10	-0.23	0.01	18	56%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Chris Duhon	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	0.00	17	69%	0.33	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.13	-0.03	12	57%	0.27	4	-0.11	13	85%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.15	-0.02	10	48%	0.22	3	-0.08	11	82%	-0.03
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.02	11	63%	0.19	4	-0.08	8	87%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	33.4	15.7	27.3	2.4	38.2	142.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.5%

MEM +22.6%

MEM +7.8%

CHI -18.9%

MEM +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	15.4	103.0	104.0	104.5
season	14.5	15.1		103.1	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.9		110.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.3	13.4	14.7	12.6	14.1
MEM	15.7	14.8	17.3	11.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	86	84	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.30	15	-16	31	13.9	15.1	-1.21	14.9	13.7	1.13
Malik Allen	9	8	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-9	17	13.3	14.2	-0.84	14.4	14.7	-0.35
Kirk Hinrich	74	72	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.50	19	-20	39	14.1	14.2	-0.12	15.1	13.6	1.52
Tyrus Thomas	37	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-6	11	13.5	14.4	-0.93	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Michael Sweetney	10	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	10	-21	14.0	14.1	-0.11	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Ben Gordon	90	90	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-6	11	14.4	11.2	3.22	14.8	14.1	0.67
Luol Deng	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-8	15	13.8	14.8	-1.02	15.2	13.4	1.76
Thabo Sefolosha	35	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	3	-7	13.6	14.4	-0.81	13.3	15.5	-2.27
Adrian Griffin	17	17	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	12	-25	13.5	14.2	-0.76	14.9	14.7	0.22
P.J. Brown	44	42	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	14	-29	15.8	12.7	3.11	14.8	14.7	0.11
Chris Duhon	27	28	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.33	-21	20	-41	13.8	14.2	-0.44	13.6	15.1	-1.52

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	91	91	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.46	12	-11	23	14.2	19.8	-5.58	14.0	15.4	-1.48
Chucky Atkins	71	71	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.47	9	-8	17	14.0	16.4	-2.41	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Mike Miller	84	84	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-11	23	14.6	15.1	-0.51	14.1	13.9	0.19
Hakim Warrick	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.61	-6	7	-13	14.5	15.6	-1.10	13.8	15.1	-1.25
Damon Stoudamire	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	-2	5	15.0	14.4	0.65	14.7	13.6	1.06
Lawrence Roberts	18	15	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	-6	13	14.9	14.6	0.30	14.5	14.0	0.43
Rudy Gay	67	69	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.55	-19	20	-39	14.7	14.6	0.09	13.3	15.8	-2.43
Dahntay Jones	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	2	-3	12.5	14.8	-2.29	13.5	14.1	-0.63
Tarence Kinsey	28	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	4	-7	16.8	13.9	2.90	16.3	13.3	3.01
Stromile Swift	11	12	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.01	-9	10	-19	19.1	14.2	4.93	15.8	13.9	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.77,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.7%
HOU 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.6%
LAL 102, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.84,0.98,1	91.9%