NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	2.2 [1280]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +15.8%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	1.0 [1124]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (ATL): -7.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	15	53%	0.04	5	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.03
Solomon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	6	72%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	46%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.22	0.00	0.07	8	100%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	13	81%	0.11	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	13	63%	0.08	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	7	88%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	12	33%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	9	35%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	27.0	15.7	28.3	2.4	26.6	128.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +30.2%

IND +6.4%

ATL -2.9%

IND +14.8%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	16.5	15.4	102.3	127.0	104.5
season	16.1	15.3		101.1	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.9	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	18.4	13.1	17.9	15.5	16.1
IND	15.1	16.4	18.1	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-29	35	13.3	16.3	-3.01	11.2	17.0	-5.75
Salim Stoudamire	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-22	21	14.6	16.6	-2.03	17.9	15.9	2.00
Solomon Jones	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.31	-15	-8	-7	17.5	15.3	2.15	16.2	16.6	-0.41
Shelden Williams	42	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.10	-1	-22	21	14.2	17.8	-3.57	16.2	16.8	-0.55
Tyronn Lue	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	-12	1	17.2	15.4	1.75	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Zaza Pachulia	45	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-5	-13	17.4	14.7	2.70	16.9	16.0	0.87
Anthony Johnson	41	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-6	-11	15.9	16.2	-0.33	17.2	15.9	1.32
Marvin Williams	75	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.20	-21	-2	-19	16.3	14.8	1.42	16.6	15.8	0.84
Josh Smith	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.13	-19	-4	-15	16.1	16.0	0.08	17.0	15.1	1.90
Josh Childress	79	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.10	-18	-5	-13	15.9	17.6	-1.67	16.1	20.0	-3.86

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.32	27	-4	31	16.8	15.9	0.91	17.1	13.7	3.45
Jamaal Tinsley	49	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.30	26	-3	29	16.6	16.4	0.20	17.3	14.5	2.73
Danny Granger	57	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	0	23	15.8	17.7	-1.98	16.2	15.7	0.49
Jermaine O'Neal	44	46	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	9	5	17.6	15.4	2.24	17.5	14.5	3.02
Troy Murphy	64	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.37	25	-2	27	16.4	16.8	-0.38	16.9	14.0	2.92
Maceo Baston	21	21	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	11	1	15.3	16.8	-1.50	14.0	16.7	-2.70
Shawne Williams	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	23	-23	17.0	15.9	1.16	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Ike Diogu	38	36	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	23	-23	16.6	16.4	0.12	14.8	16.9	-2.12
Darrell Armstrong	30	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	21	-19	17.0	16.2	0.83	15.1	16.6	-1.45
Keith McLeod	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	27	-31	16.3	16.5	-0.26	13.0	16.6	-3.64
Rawle Marshall	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	14.4	16.7	-2.35	12.7	16.4	-3.78
Orien Greene	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	14.4	16.7	-2.35	12.7	16.4	-3.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 76, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
DEN 90, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CLE 77, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%